Systemic Transitions: Past, Present, and Future

Front Matter....Pages i-ix
Introduction: How Might We Know That a Systemic Transition Is Underway? Clues for the Twenty-First Century....Pages 1-6
Front Matter....Pages 7-7
Relative Decline: Why Does It Induce War or Sustain Peace?....Pages 9-30
Transitions in Hegemony: A Theory Based on State Type and Technology....Pages 31-54
Structural Preludes to Systemic Transition since 1494....Pages 55-73
Falling Down: An Empirical Test of Dynamic Differentials Theory 1500–1999....Pages 75-98
Front Matter....Pages 99-99
Searching for Changing Organizational Architecture during Global Transition: Where Is the Post—Cold War Order?....Pages 101-130
Whether and How Global Leadership Transitions Will Result in War: Some Long-Term Predictions from the Steps-to-War Explanation....Pages 131-160
Implications of Asia’s Rise to Global Status....Pages 161-186
Kantian Dynamics and Systemic Transitions: Can International Organizations Influence U.S.-China Conflict?....Pages 187-204
Exploration of Connections between Energy Use and Leadership Transitions....Pages 205-220
Front Matter....Pages 221-221
The Evolutionary Trajectory of the World System toward an Age of Transition....Pages 223-239
Cities in Transitions and Transformations: Exploring a Jacobsean Approach to Macro-Social Change....Pages 241-260
Scale Transitions and the Evolution of Global Governance since the Bronze Age....Pages 261-284
Back Matter....Pages 285-294