Statistics: A Guide to the Unknown

Preface ......Page 3
Foreword to the Third Edition ......Page 7
Contents ......Page 9
Essays Classified by Data Sources ......Page 14
Essays Classified by Statistical Tools ......Page 17
Part One: Our Biologic World ......Page 24
The biggest public health experiment ever / Paul Meier ......Page 26
Safety of anesthetics / Lincoln E. Moses, Frederick Mosteller ......Page 38
The Metro firm trials and ongoing patient randomization / Duncan Neuhauser -- A health insurance experiment ......Page 48
A health insurance experiment / Joseph P. Newhouse ......Page 54
Cigarette price, smoking, and excise tax policy / Kenneth E. Warner ......Page 64
Does inheritance matter in disease? / D.D. Reid ......Page 76
The plight of the whales / D.G. Chapman ......Page 83
The importance of being human / W.W. Howells ......Page 91
Part Two: Our Political World ......Page 100
Statistical proof of employment discrimination / Sandy L. Zabell ......Page 102
Statistics in jury selection / S. James Press ......Page 110
Measuring the effects of social innovations by means of time series / Donald T. Campbell ......Page 116
Election night on television / Richard F. Link ......Page 127
Part Three: Our Social World ......Page 136
Deciding authorship / Frederick Mosteller, David L. Wallace ......Page 138
Children's recall of pictorial information / Doris R. Entwisle, W. H. Huggins ......Page 149
The meaning of words / Joseph B. Kruskal ......Page 155
The sizes of things / Herbert A. Simon ......Page 165
How accountants save money by sampling / John Neter ......Page 174
Preliminary evaluation of a new food product / Elisabeth Street, Mavis B. Carroll ......Page 184
Statistical determination of numerical color tolerances / Lonnie C. Vance ......Page 193
Making essay test scores fairer with statistics / Henry I. Braun, Howard Wainer ......Page 201
Statistics, sports, and some other things / Robert Hooke ......Page 211
The consumer price index / Philip J. McCarthy ......Page 221
How to count better / Morris H. Hansen, Barbara A. Bailar ......Page 231
How the nation's employment and unemployment estimates are made / Carol Boyd Leon, Philip L. Rones ......Page 241
The development and analysis of economic indicators / Geoffrey H. Moore ......Page 250
Part Four: Our Physical World ......Page 262
Optimization and the traveling salesman problem / Charles A. Whitney ......Page 264
Estimating the chance of large earthquakes by radiocarbon dating and statistical modeling / David R. Brillinger ......Page 272
Very short range weather forecasting using automated observations / Robert G. Miller ......Page 284
Statistics, the Sun, and the stars / Charles A. Whitney ......Page 291
Index ......Page 299