Positive Tipping Points Towards Sustainability: Understanding the Conditions and Strategies for Fast Decarbonization in Regions (Springer Climate)

Foreword
Acknowledgments
Introduction
Organization of the Book
Contents
About the Editors
The TIPPING+ Project Journey
	1 Introduction
	2 Defining and Researching Positive Tipping Points: The TIPPING+ Approach
	3 The Multi-dimensional Challenge of Rapid Decarbonisation of Coal and Carbon Intensive Regions (CCIRs)
	4 Final Remarks
	References
Tipping Points Emerge in the Interaction Between Narrative and Reality
	1 Introduction
	2 Part One: Cognition
		2.1 Narratives as Dynamic Memory Banks
		2.2 The Role of Imagined Futures
		2.3 Categorization as the Core Cognitive Process
		2.4 Early Acquisition of a Cognitive Structure
		2.5 Collaborations
	3 Part Two: Change and Stability
		3.1 How to Create Stability?
		3.2 The Illusion of Control
	4 Part Three: Creation and Role of Meaning
		4.1 Birth and Growth of the European Union
		4.2 The Construction of Meaning
		4.3 The Map Is Not the Territory
	5 Part Four: Tipping Points in Cognitive Space
		5.1 Energy Narratives from Comprehension to Competency
		5.2 Tipping Points
		5.3 Reinterpreting Noise
	6 Conclusion
	References
Tipping Points. Deep Roots and Contemporary Challenges in Psychology
	1 Background
		1.1 Traumatic Changes
		1.2 Restructuring the Phenomenological Field
		1.3 Cognitive and Affective Resistance to Change
		1.4 Placing Change in the Social Representations and Cultural Context
		1.5 A Tentative Summary of Psychological Factors to Be Considered
	2 Current Insights on Tipping Points
		2.1 Tipping Points as a Transformation in Perception, from Noise to Signal
		2.2 Dynamical System Psychology
		2.3 Socioecological Psychology
	3 Conclusion: An Area to Be Explored
	References
Transformations, Agency and Positive Tipping Points: A Resilience-Based Approach
	1 Introduction
	2 A Resilience-Based Approach to Transformations and Tipping Points
	3 The Role of Agency and the Capacities for Navigating Tipping Dynamics
		3.1 Distributed Agency and the Illusion of Control of Tipping Points
		3.2 Transformations as Complex, Nonlinear Processes
		3.3 Navigating Crisis, Shocks, and Disturbances Surrounding Tipping Dynamics
	4 Conclusion
	References
Principles for a Case Study Approach to Social Tipping Points
	1 Introduction
	2 Defining Social Tipping Points Through Common Criteria
	3 Methodological Approaches to the Study of Social Tipping
	4 Our Methodological Approach
	5 Operationalizing Social Tipping Points
		5.1 Case Study Selection
		5.2 Bounding the System
		5.3 Pre-tipping and Post-tipping System Descriptions
		5.4 Key Variables
		5.5 Tipping Dynamics
	6 Principles and Process for Social Tipping Point Analysis
	7 Challenges
	8 Conclusion and Outlook
	References
Post-war Development Energy Scenarios for Ukraine
	1 Introduction
	2 The Energy Sector of Ukraine on the Eve of the War
		2.1 Generating Capacities of the IPS of Ukraine
		2.2 Russia-Ukraine War
		2.3 Current Environmental and Energy Issues and Decarbonization in Ukraine
		2.4 Methods
		2.5 Basic Conditions for Analysis
	3 Results and Discussions
		3.1 Pre-war Situation
		3.2 Ukrainian Energy Strategy: Actual Challenges and Issues During Wartime and After
		3.3 Possibilities and Consequences of Phasing Out Coal in Ukraine
	4 Conclusions
	References
Exploring Transition in Coal- and Carbon-Intensive Regions Through an Interdisciplinary Lens
	1 Introduction
	2 Exploring Transitions Through an Interdisciplinary Lens
		2.1 Human Geography Perspective
		2.2 Social Psychology Perspective
		2.3 Regional Socio-Technical Perspective
		2.4 Economics Perspective
		2.5 Summary of Transition Phases from Different Disciplinary Perspectives
	3 Case Studies of Transition and Tipping Dynamics in Coal and Carbon Intensive Regions
	4 Conclusions
	References
Social Tipping Processes in the Transformation of Civitavecchia’s Socio-energy System
	1 Introduction
	2 Social Tipping Processes
	3 Destabilisation and Disruption
	4 Methods: The Case of Civitavecchia
	5 Results: Destabilisation, Disruption and Social Tipping Processes in Civitavecchia
	6 Discussion: Looking into Civitavecchia’s Case: Lessons and Ways Forward for Sustainability Transformations
	7 Conclusion
	References
Realizing Alternative Energy Futures: From the Promise of a Petroleum Future to Imagining Lofoten as the Green Islands
	1 Introduction
	2 Norwegian Oil and the Arctic Resource Frontier
		2.1 A New Oil Adventure in the North?
		2.2 Opposition and Emerging Counter-Narratives to Oil and Gas
	3 The Lofoten Islands: Coastal Fisheries, Cultural Heritage, and Nature-based Tourism
	4 Research Approach and Conceptual Framework
		4.1 Analytical Framework
	5 Tipping Events in the Lofoten Oil Debate
		5.1 Marine Management Plan for the Barents Sea and Lofoten
		5.2 The People’s Action Established
		5.3 Norway–Russia Delimitation Treaty
		5.4 Revised Management Plan for the Barents Sea and Lofoten
		5.5 “Fact Finding” Process
		5.6 Parliamentary Elections and Change of Government
		5.7 Oil Price Decline
		5.8 The Paris Agreement
		5.9 Lofoten Municipalities Say No to Oil
		5.10 Parliamentary Elections
		5.11 The Labor Party Removes Support from Impact Assessment
		5.12 Lofoten the Green Islands 2023
		5.13 The People’s Action Declares Victory and Disbands
		5.14 Summary
	6 Imagining Alternative Visions of the Future: From the Next Oil Adventure to the Green Islands
		6.1 Narrative 1: The “New” Oil Adventure in the North
		6.2 Narrative 2: Fisheries, the Cod and Coastal Cultural Heritage
		6.3 Narrative 3: Nature-based Tourism
		6.4 Narrative 4: Climate Concerns and the Anti-fossil Fuel Movement
		6.5 An Alternative Energy Future Emerges (Narrative 5): Long Live the Sea and the Green Islands
	7 Conclusion
	Appendix
	References
Exploring the Role of Identities and Perceptions of the Future in a Post-coal Mining Region: The Demolition of Andorra Coal-fired Cooling Towers (Spain) as a Tipping Point
	1 Introduction
	2 Regional Identities and Perceptions as Constraining or Enabling Conditions for Positive Tipping Towards Low-Carbon Futures
	3 Tipping Towards Uncertainty in the Teruel Coal Mining Region
		3.1 Regional and Local Contexts
		3.2 Methods
		3.3 Economic and Political Catalysts Accelerating Structural Change
		3.4 Lost in Transition? The Emergence of New Identities, Risks and Opportunities After Tipping Events
	4 Conclusion
	References
Narrative-Network Dynamics in Tipping Processes Towards Low-Carbon Energy Futures: The Case of Indonesia
	1 Introduction
	2 Banten and Bali as Coal- and Carbon-Intensive Regions
	3 Approach and Methods: Adapted Integrated Sustainability Assessment
	4 Results: Narratives-Network Dynamics of Current and Future Energy Systems in Indonesia
		4.1 Mainstream Narratives
		4.2 Alternative Narratives
			4.2.1 On-stream Narrative
			4.2.2 Off-stream Narrative
			4.2.3 Transformative Visions
		4.3 Narratives within Social-ecological Networks of the Indonesian Energy System
	5 Discussion: Network Dynamics and the Diffusion of Transformative Visions
	6 Conclusion
	Appendix
	References
Situated Knowledge and Energy Transformations: A Socio-Anthropological Exploration
	1 Introduction
	2 Anthropological Framework
		2.1 Temporality: Who Owns the Future?
		2.2 Energyscapes
	3 Context
		3.1 Claiming Cultural Diversity
	4 Methodology
	5 Key Findings
		5.1 The Home as Sole Horizon Subject to Individual Power of Change
		5.2 Participatory Mapping Experimentations
	6 Ethnic Particularism: Double Edged Sword for EU Promotion of Energy Transitions
	7 Conclusions
	References
Tipping Away from Coal?: Exploring Narratives and Tipping Dynamics in the Phaseout of Coal on Svalbard
	1 Introduction
	2 Tipping Points in Human Geography
	3 Theoretical Framework
	4 Methods and Data
	5 The Growth and Decline of Coal on Svalbard
		5.1 Politics and Economics of Coal
		5.2 Demographic and Societal Characteristics and Changes
	6 Narrative Evolution of Svalbard’s Energy and Economy
		6.1 The Coal Energy, Cultural, and Economic Narrative
		6.2 Transition Narratives
		6.3 Transformation Narratives
	7 Concluding Discussion
	References
Confronting Local and Global Tipping Narratives: Green Energy Development in the Arctic and Why Greenland Is Not for Sale
	1 Introduction
	2 The Arctic as a Source of Energy Resources for the Global Market
	3 Greenland’s Resource Confronting Narratives
	4 Positive Tipping Points, Natural Resource Justice and Earth System Justice
	5 Trump’s Attempt to Buy Greenland, from a Resource Justice Perspective
	6 Final Reflections: Navigating the Narratives Confrontation
	References
Assessing Macroeconomic Effects of a Carbon Tax as a Tipping Intervention in Economies Undergoing Coal Phase-Out: The Cases of Poland and Greece
	1 Introduction
	2 An Economic Perspective on Carbon Tax Implementation
	3 Methods
		3.1 Macroeconomic Model: MEMO
		3.2 Input-Output Sector Structure and CO2 Emissions
	4 Case Definition and Specification
		4.1 Case Study Selection
		4.2 Scenario Specifications
	5 Results
	6 Discussion
		6.1 Implications of Carbon Tax Application at the National Level
		6.2 Implications of Carbon Tax Application at the Regional Level
		6.3 How to Support Ambitious Climate Policy in CCIRs?
		6.4 Limitations of This Work and Outlook
	7 Conclusions
	References
Transformative Emergence: Research Challenges for Enabling Social-ecological Tipping Points Toward Regional Sustainability Transformations
	1 Introduction
	2 Social-ecological Tipping Points Towards Sustainability
	3 SETPs in Regional Sustainability Transformations Research. Three Challenges Ahead
		3.1 Challenge I: Acknowledging and Integrating Diverse Contributions from Social Sciences
		3.2 Challenge II: Designing Open Transdisciplinary Assessment Processes Able to Represent Multiple Qualities of Systemic Change and Enable Regionally Situated Transformative Capacities
		3.3 Challenge III: Enabling Transformative Emergence in Coal and Carbon-Intensive Regions
	4 Conclusion
	References