Conflict Analysis: Understanding Causes, Unlocking Solutions

Praise for Conflict Analysis
Title Page
Copyright Page
Contents
Foreword
Acknowledgments
Introduction
Part I: Understanding Deadly Conflict
	Chapter 1: Global Conflict in the Twenty-First Century
		Trends
		Costs of Conflict
		Perils of Prediction
		Conflict Analysis and Adaptive Leadership
	Chapter 2: Causes of Conflict and Peace
		The Curve of Conflict
		The Strategic Dimension
		The Political Dimension
		The Socioeconomic Dimension
		The Psychological Dimension
		The Cultural Dimension
		Violence as a Strategic Choice
	Chapter 3: Risk Assessment and Early Warning
		Early Warning Watchlists
		Conflict Metrics Instruments
		Environmental Degradation and Climate Change
		Genocide and Mass Atrocities
		Early Warning at the Local Level
Part II: Tools for the Trade
	Chapter 4: Conflict Assessment Frameworks
		Self-Assessment
		Gathering Information
		Four-Step Assessment Process
		Transition to Planning
	Chapter 5: Narrative Analysis
		Listening as a Peacebuilding Technique
		Who: Leaders and Constituents
		What and Why: Positions Versus Interests and Needs
		When: Mythic Histories
		Where: Territorial Narratives
		How: Strategy and Tactics
	Chapter 6: Conflict Mapping and Systems Mapping
		Conflict Mapping
		Systems Mapping
	Chapter 7: Scenario Analysis
		Scenario-Building Techniques
		Scenario Analysis in Conflict Management
		Visualizing Scenarios
		Selecting and Tracking Indicators
		Linking Vision to Action
Part III: From Analysis to Action
	Chapter 8: Navigating Cognitive Minefields
		Groupthink
		Black Swans
		Psychic Numbing
	Chapter 9: Conflict Analysis in the Planning Process
		Framing the Problem
		Defining Objectives
		Situation Analysis
		Designing a Plan of Action
		Measuring Progress and Adapting to Change
Conclusion: The Value of Collaborative Conflict Analysis
Appendices
	1. Estimating Mortality from Violent Conflict
	2. Early Warning Watchlists and Reports
	3. Conflict Metrics
	4. Private Strategic Forecasters
	5. Conflict Assessment Frameworks
	6. U.S. Institute of Peace Narrative Analysis Framework
	7. Conflict Mapping Tools
	8. Template for a Logical Framework Matrix (Logframe)
Glossary
Resources
Index
About the Author
United States Institute of Peace Press
Board of Directors
Back Cover