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دانلود کتاب The Secrets of Economic Indicators: Hidden Clues to Future Economic Trends and Investment Opportunities, 2nd Edition

دانلود کتاب اسرار شاخص های اقتصادی: سرنخ های پنهان برای روندهای اقتصادی آینده و فرصت های سرمایه گذاری، ویرایش دوم

The Secrets of Economic Indicators: Hidden Clues to Future Economic Trends and Investment Opportunities, 2nd Edition

مشخصات کتاب

The Secrets of Economic Indicators: Hidden Clues to Future Economic Trends and Investment Opportunities, 2nd Edition

دسته بندی: اقتصاد
ویرایش: 2nd 
نویسندگان:   
سری:  
ISBN (شابک) : 0132447290, 9780132447294 
ناشر:  
سال نشر: 2007 
تعداد صفحات: 431 
زبان: English 
فرمت فایل : PDF (درصورت درخواست کاربر به PDF، EPUB یا AZW3 تبدیل می شود) 
حجم فایل: 13 مگابایت 

قیمت کتاب (تومان) : 50,000



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توضیحاتی درمورد کتاب به خارجی

“This is the real deal. Baumohl miraculously breathes life into economic indicators and statistics.” –The Wall Street Journal   “This is the most up-to-date guide to economic indicators and their importance to financial markets in print. The coverage of less-reported indicators, especially those from nongovernment sources, is hard to find elsewhere. The inclusion of the actual published tables helps the newer student of the markets find the data in the public release. For anyone trying to follow the economic data, this should be next to your computer so that you can understand and find the data on the Internet.” –David Wyss, Chief Economist, Standard and Poor’s   “I find Baumohl’s writing fascinating. In addition to the famous indicators, he includes many that I hadn’t heard of. I really appreciate that he tells you exactly where to find each indicator on the Web. Just about anyone who’s serious about understanding which way the economy is headed will want to read this book. It could be a classic.” –Harry Domash, Columnist for MSN Money and Publisher, Winning Investing Newsletter   “Bernie Baumohl has accomplished something of real value in The Secrets of Economic Indicators. He has successfully demystified the world of financial and economic news that bombards us in our daily lives. Both professional investors and casual observers of the world of finance and economics will be grateful for what he has done. The constant stream of heretofore bewildering news from the world of business and finance can now be easily understood. Every businessperson or investor should keep a copy of Baumohl’s book close at hand as he or she catches up on the business, stock market, and economic events of the day. It is great, at long last, to have someone who has eliminated what may have been so perplexing to so many and to have done so with such remarkable clarity.” –Hugh Johnson, Chairman and Chief Investment Officer of Johnson Illington Advisors   “Bernie Baumohl has written a must-read educational and reference book that every individual investor will find indispensable for watching, monitoring, and interpreting the markets. The daily flow of high frequency economic indicators is the stuff that makes financial markets move and that can signal the big trends that make or break investor portfolios. Most important, Bernie’s long experience in reporting economics for Time Magazine helps make the ‘dismal science’ lively and interesting.” –Allen Sinai, President and Chief Global Economist, Decision Economics, Inc.   “Baumohl has a gift for taking a complicated subject and allowing it to read like a fast-moving novel. My confidence in reading and understanding economic indicators as portrayed in this book made me realize the possibilities this information holds for improving my personal net worth as well as navigating my business toward higher profits. I recommend this book if you care about your future finances.” –Morris E. Lasky, CEO, Lodging Unlimited, Inc.; Manager and consultant for $6 billion in hotel assets; Chairman, Lodging Conference; Chairman, International Hotel Conference   “I think this is an excellent book. It’s well written, accessible to a variety of readers, deals with an interesting and important subject, and covers the topic well. It deserves to get a lot of notice and use.” –D. Quinn Mills, Alfred J. Weatherhead, Jr., Professor of Business Administration, Harvard Business School   “Economic statistics, employment data, Federal Reserve surveys. Think they are boring? Think again! They can drive markets into a frenzy, causing billions of dollars to be made or lost in an instant. Bernie Baumohl brilliantly, clearly, and, yes, entertainingly describes what every investor and business manager should know about economic indicators: which ones move markets, how to interpret them, and how to use them to spot and capitalize on future economic trends. The Secrets of Economic Indicators is an extraordinary and insightful work–an enormously important contribution to the body of financial literature. Read it and then keep it on your desk. Consult it the next time you are deluged with a flurry of economic statistics. Your understanding certainly will be enhanced, and your portfolio will likely be as well.” –Robert Hormats, Vice Chairman, Goldman Sachs (International)   “If you want to make money investing, this is an essential trend-tracking tool that will help get you to the bank. This book is the real deal. Bernard Baumohl miraculously breathes life into deadly economic indicators and boring statistics . . . he knows what he’s talking about, and his expertise proves it.” –Gerald Celente, Director, The Trends Research Institute   COMPLETELY UPDATED! THE PLAIN-ENGLISH, UP-TO-THE-MINUTE GUIDE TO ECONOMIC INDICATORS: WHAT THEY MEAN, AND HOW TO USE THEM!   Every day, investments bounce wildly in response to new economic indicators: statistics that provide crucial clues about the future of the economy and the markets. Now, you can use these indicators to make smarter investment decisions, just like the professionals. You don’t need an economics degree, or a CPA–just The Secrets of Economic Indicators, Second Edition!   Using up-to-the-minute examples and real-world stories, former TIME Magazine senior economics reporter Bernard Baumohl illuminates every U.S. and foreign indicator that matters right now. You’ll learn where to find them, what their track records are, how to interpret them, and how to use that information to make better decisions.   Baumohl has thoroughly updated this best-seller with new data, new examples, new indicators, and revised analyses–including a new assessment of the value of yield curves in predicting business cycles. Thousands of investors and business planners swore by the First Edition: these updates make it even more valuable.   • New! Today’s 10 most crucial leading indicators Better ways to predict economic turning points in time to profit • Get ahead of the curve with the latest U.S. indicators New insights into U.S. employment, monetary policy, inflation, capital flows, and more • Emerging foreign indicators you need to track From China to India, Europe to Brazil...and beyond • Making sense of indicators in conflict What to do when the numbers disagree • Finding the data Free Web resources for the latest economic data • Which economic indicators really matter right now? • What do they mean for stocks, bonds, interest rates, currencies...your portfolio? • How can you use them to make faster, smarter investment decisions? • Simple, clear, non-technical, friendly, usable...the only book of its kind! • By Bernard Baumohl, renowned economic analyst and former award-winning TIME Magazine financial journalist   New edition, with extensive new coverage: • Many new U.S. and global indicators, from new employment reports to box office receipts • New examples and up-to-the-minute data • Updated analyses of yield curves and other key metrics • More international coverage • New rankings of leading economic indicators, and much more   About the Author xiii What’s New in the Second Edition? xv Preface xvii Acknowledgments xxiii   Chapter 1        The Lock-Up 1 Chapter 2        A Beginner’s Guide: Understanding the Lingo 17 Chapter 3        The Most Influential U.S. Economic Indicators 25 Chapter 4        International Economic Indicators: Why Are They So Important? 325 Chapter 5        Best Web Sites for U.S. Economic Indicators 373 Chapter 6        Best Web Sit...



فهرست مطالب

Contents......Page 10
About the Author......Page 14
What’s New in the Second Edition?......Page 16
Preface......Page 18
Acknowledgments......Page 24
CHAPTER 1 The Lock-Up......Page 26
U.S. Economic Indicators......Page 31
International Economic Indicators......Page 39
Annual Rates......Page 42
Business Cycle......Page 43
Consensus Surveys......Page 44
Nominal Dollars Versus Real Dollars (Also Known as Current Dollars Versus Constant Dollars)......Page 45
Revisions and Benchmarks......Page 46
Seasonal Adjustments......Page 47
Employment Situation......Page 50
Weekly Claims for Unemployment Insurance......Page 65
Help-Wanted Advertising Index......Page 69
Corporate Layoff Announcements......Page 72
Mass Layoff Statistics (MLS)......Page 75
ADP National Employment Report......Page 80
Personal Income and Spending......Page 88
Retail Sales......Page 99
E-Commerce Retail Sales......Page 104
Weekly Chain-Store Sales......Page 107
Consumer Credit Outstanding......Page 112
Consumer Confidence Index (Conference Board)......Page 117
Survey of Consumer Sentiment (University of Michigan)......Page 122
ABC News/Washington Post Consumer Comfort Index......Page 125
UBS/Gallup Index of Investor Optimism......Page 129
Gross Domestic Product (GDP)......Page 132
Durable Goods Orders......Page 149
Factory Orders......Page 156
Business Inventories......Page 163
Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization......Page 170
Institute for Supply Management (ISM) Manufacturing Survey......Page 181
Institute for Supply Management (ISM) Non-Manufacturing Business Survey......Page 188
Chicago Purchasing Managers Index (Business Barometer)......Page 191
Index of Leading Economic Indicators (LEI)......Page 195
Housing Starts and Building Permits......Page 203
Existing Home Sales......Page 209
New Home Sales......Page 216
Housing Market Index: National Association of Home Builders (NAHB)......Page 221
Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey and the National Delinquency Survey......Page 225
Construction Spending......Page 230
Regional Federal Reserve Bank Reports......Page 233
Federal Reserve Bank of New York: Empire State Manufacturing Survey......Page 234
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia: Business Outlook Survey......Page 240
Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City: Manufacturing Survey of the 10th District......Page 244
Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond: Manufacturing Activity for the Fifth District......Page 248
Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago: National Activity Index (CFNAI)......Page 251
The Federal Reserve Board’s Beige Book......Page 254
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Statement......Page 258
International Trade in Goods and Services......Page 265
Current Account Balance (Summary of International Transactions)......Page 279
Treasury International Capital (TIC) System......Page 287
Consumer Price Index (CPI)......Page 296
Producer Price Index (PPI)......Page 308
Employment Cost Index......Page 315
Import and Export Prices......Page 321
Productivity and Costs......Page 328
Employer Costs for Employee Compensation......Page 336
Real Earnings......Page 340
Yield Curve......Page 343
CHAPTER 4 International Economic Indicators: Why Are They So Important?......Page 350
German Industrial Production......Page 353
German IFO Business Survey......Page 355
German Consumer Price Index (CPI)......Page 357
Japan’s Tankan Survey......Page 361
Japan Industrial Production......Page 367
Global: Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index......Page 372
OECD Composite Leading Indicators (CLI)......Page 379
China Industrial Production......Page 382
India: GDP and Wholesale Price Index......Page 387
Brazil Industrial Production......Page 393
The U.S. Economy......Page 398
Consumer Behavior......Page 399
Employment Conditions......Page 400
International Trade......Page 401
Federal Reserve Reports......Page 402
Money and Credit......Page 403
Other Useful Economic Sources on the Web......Page 404
Unconventional Economic Indicators......Page 405
Economic Statistics from Other Countries......Page 406
Best Megasites for International Economic Statistics......Page 411
B......Page 412
C......Page 413
D......Page 414
E......Page 415
G......Page 416
I......Page 417
N......Page 419
Q-R......Page 420
S......Page 421
U......Page 422
X-Y-Z......Page 426




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