The Fascination of statistics

Cover......Page 1
Half Title......Page 2
Series Page......Page 3
Title Page......Page 4
Copyright Page......Page 5
Preface......Page 6
Contents......Page 8
Contributors......Page 12
I. Probability......Page 18
 l. Probabilities, Meeting, and Mating......Page 20
 2. How Much Does a Kilogram of Milk Powder Weigh?......Page 30
 3. Writing the Book of Life: Medical Record Linkage......Page 42
II. Condensing Complex Data......Page 64
 4. Numerical Approaches to Classification......Page 68
 5. Pattern Recognition, or How to Tell It\'s One of Those......Page 82
 6. Finders Keepers......Page 90
 7. How to Assess Management Training......Page 106
 8. Multidimensional Scaling in Product Development......Page 120
 9. The Positioning of Zap: An Application of Discriminant Analysis......Page 128
 10. Understanding Patient-Physician Communication......Page 140
 11. The Why and Wherefore of Factor Analysis......Page 156
III. Hypothesis Testing......Page 176
 12. Testing for Trends in the Weather......Page 178
 13. How the Theory of Evolution Could Be Disproved, But Isn\'t......Page 190
 14. Unraveling DNA Information......Page 200
 15. Sequential Experimentation, or Count Your Chickens as They Hatch......Page 210
IV. Estimation......Page 220
 16. Estimating the Size of Wildlife Populations Using Capture Techniques......Page 222
 17. Who Still Comes to the Races?......Page 234
V. Experimental......Page 246
 18. Randomization: A Historic Controversy......Page 248
 19. Some Sidelights on Experimental Design......Page 262
VI. Prediction......Page 284
 20. You Can\'t Catch Me: I\'m the Gingerbread Man......Page 286
 21. Ultrasound in Ante-Natal Diagnosis......Page 294
 22. Predicting Suicide: Statistical and Clinical Strategies......Page 312
 23. Predicting Earthquakes......Page 324
 24. Genetic Evaluation of Bulls for Milk Production......Page 338
VII. Modeling......Page 346
 25. The Survival of the Fittest......Page 348
 26. Forecasting Visitor Arrivals to New Zealand: An Elementary Analysis......Page 368
 27. Spreading Disease by Statistics and Growing Cities with Computers......Page 392
 28. Time Series and the Stock Market......Page 408
 29. The 100-Year Flood and All That......Page 416
 30. War and Peace: Why Is Power Unstable?......Page 432
Index......Page 444