Selected Methods of Planning Analysis

Preface
Contents
Acronyms
List of Figures
List of Tables
1 Introduction: Planning Analysis Methods
	1.1 Planning
	1.2 Planning Analysis
	1.3 Structure of the Book
	References
2 Demographic Analysis
	2.1 Introduction
		2.1.1 Typology of Projection Methods
	2.2 Demographic Analysis—Fundamental Concepts
	2.3 Components of Change—Demographic Reasons for Population Change
		2.3.1 Fertility
		2.3.2 Mortality
		2.3.3 Migration
	2.4 Trend Extrapolation Methods
		2.4.1 Share of Growth Method
		2.4.2 Shift-Share Method
		2.4.3 Linear Population Model
		2.4.4 Geometric Population Model
		2.4.5 Parabolic Population Model
		2.4.6 Logistic Population Model
	2.5 Cohort-Component Method
		2.5.1 The Mortality Component
		2.5.2 The Net Migration Component
		2.5.3 The Fertility Component
		2.5.4 Bringing All Components Together
		2.5.5 The Hamilton-Perry Method
	2.6 Concluding Remarks
	Review Questions
	Exercises
	References
3 Economic Analysis
	3.1 Introduction
	3.2 The Economic Base Theory
	3.3 Understanding Your Regional Economy
	3.4 Assessing the State of a Regional Economy
		3.4.1 Compiling a Regional Economic Profile
		3.4.2 Preliminary Consideration
			3.4.2.1 The Study Area and Benchmark Region
			3.4.2.2 Economic Indicator or Units of Measurement
			3.4.2.3 The Level of Detail—The Economic Aggregation
	3.5 Economic Base Analysis Techniques
		3.5.1 The Survey Method
		3.5.2 The Assumption Method
		3.5.3 The Location Quotient Method
			3.5.3.1 Calculation of Location Quotients
			3.5.3.2 Assumptions and Limitations of Location Quotients
	3.6 Evaluating Regional Economies Using the Economic Base Multiplier and Shift-Share Analysis
		3.6.1 The Economic Base Multiplier
			3.6.1.1 The Employment Multiplier
			3.6.1.2 The Income Multiplier (IM)
			3.6.1.3 Critics of the Economic Base Multiplier
		3.6.2 Shift-Share Analysis
			3.6.2.1 National Growth Share Calculations
			3.6.2.2 Industrial Mix Share Calculations
			3.6.2.3 Regional Growth Share Calculations
			3.6.2.4 Summary
	Review Questions
	Exercises
	References
4 Financial Analysis
	4.1 Introduction
	4.2 Time Value of Money and Financial Mathematics
		4.2.1 Interest Rate (i), Interest, and Compound Interest
		4.2.2 Interest Period
		4.2.3 Effective Interest Rate
		4.2.4 Future Value (FV) for a Single Payment
		4.2.5 Future Value (FV) for a Uniform Series of Payments
		4.2.6 Present Value (PV) of a Single Future Payment
		4.2.7 Present Value (PV) of a Uniform Series of Payments
		4.2.8 Ordinary Annuities
			4.2.8.1 Periodic Payments of an Ordinary Annuity (A) with a Present Value (PV)
			4.2.8.2 Periodic Payments of an Ordinary Annuity (A) with a Future Value (FV)
		4.2.9 More Advanced Financial Calculations
			4.2.9.1 Special Case: Uneven Cash Flows (CF)
			4.2.9.2 Special Case: Perpetual Life
			4.2.9.3 Special Case: Calculating the Interest Rate (i)
	4.3 Net Present Value (NPV) Method
	4.4 Internal Rate of Return (IRR) Method
	4.5 Equivalent Uniform Annual Cash Flow Method
	4.6 Cost-Benefit Analysis (CBA)
	4.7 Conclusion
	Review Questions
	Further Reading
5 Land Use Analysis
	5.1 Introduction
	5.2 Land Use and Human Activities
	5.3 Land Classification
		5.3.1 The Bartholomew Land Use Classification System
		5.3.2 The Standard Land Use Coding Manual
		5.3.3 The Anderson Land Use/Land Cover Classification System
		5.3.4 The Land-Based Classification Standard
	5.4 Land Database and Land Mapping
		5.4.1 Land Database
		5.4.2 Land Data Sources
		5.4.3 Land Mapping
		5.4.4 Land Use Change
	5.5 Impact Analysis
	5.6 Land Suitability Analysis
		5.6.1 The Eight-Step Land Suitability Analysis
			5.6.1.1 Step 1: Select a Land Use Type for Analysis
			5.6.1.2 Step 2: Select Factors to Be Considered and Attribute Values of Each Factor
			5.6.1.3 Step 3: Determine the Score for Each Attribute of Each Factor
			5.6.1.4 Step 4: Weight the Factors
			5.6.1.5 Step 5: Calculate a Composite Score from Attribute Values and Weights for Each Factor
			5.6.1.6 Step 6: Rank the Combined Scores to Establish Suitability Levels
			5.6.1.7 Step 7: Identify the Available Land Based on Existing Land Use
			5.6.1.8 Step 8: Constraints from Comprehensive Plans, Zoning, or Other Land Use Controls to Further Remove Unavailable Land
	5.7 GIS-Based Land Suitability Analysis
		5.7.1 Data Preparation
			5.7.1.1 Slope Layer
			5.7.1.2 Soil Layer
			5.7.1.3 Floodplain and Sewer Service District Layers
			5.7.1.4 Distance to Roads Layer
		5.7.2 Calculation of Composite Scores
		5.7.3 Delineation of Developable Land
	Review Questions
	Exercises
	References
6 Transportation Analysis
	6.1 Introduction
	6.2 Basic Concepts in Transportation Analysis
	6.3 Overview of Transportation Analysis
	6.4 Street Classification
	6.5 Level of Service
	6.6 Travel Demand Modeling
		6.6.1 Trip Generation
			6.6.1.1 Trip Production
			6.6.1.2 Trip Attraction
		6.6.2 Trip Distribution
		6.6.3 Mode Choice
		6.6.4 Trip Assignment
	6.7 GIS-Based Job Accessibility Analysis
		6.7.1 Data Preparation
			6.7.1.1 Download Census Data
			6.7.1.2 Create a Geodatabase for Woodford County
		6.7.2 Calculation of Job Accessibility
	6.8 Critique and Limitations
	Review Questions
	Exercises
	References
Index