Preference, Belief, and Similarity: Selected Writings ()

Introduction and Biography......Page 10
Sources......Page 16
SIMILARITY......Page 18
Editor’s Introductory Remarks......Page 20
1 Features of Similarity......Page 24
2 Additive Similarity Trees......Page 64
3 Studies of Similarity......Page 92
4 Weighting Common and Distinctive Features in Perceptual and Conceptual Judgments......Page 114
5 Nearest Neighbor Analysis of Psychological Spaces......Page 146
6 On the Relation between Common and Distinctive Feature Models......Page 188
JUDGMENT......Page 204
Editor’s Introductory Remarks......Page 206
7 Belief in the Law of Small Numbers......Page 210
8 Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases......Page 220
9 Extensional versus Intuitive Reasoning: The Conjunction Fallacy in Probability Judgment......Page 238
10 The Cold Facts about the ‘‘Hot Hand’’ in Basketball......Page 274
Editor’s Introductory Remarks to Chapter 11......Page 284
11 The ‘‘Hot Hand’’: Statistical Reality or Cognitive Illusion?......Page 286
12 The Weighing of Evidence and the Determinants of Con.dence......Page 292
13 On the Evaluation of Probability Judgments: Calibration, Resolution, and Monotonicity......Page 318
14 Support Theory: A Nonextensional Representation of Subjective Probability......Page 346
15 On the Belief That Arthritis Pain Is Related to the Weather......Page 394
16 Unpacking, Repacking, and Anchoring: Advances in Support Theory......Page 400
PREFERENCE......Page 420
Editor’s Introductory Remarks......Page 422
Probabilistic Models of Choice......Page 428
17 On the Optimal Number of Alternatives at a Choice Point......Page 430
18 Substitutability and Similarity in Binary Choices......Page 436
19 Intransitivity of Preferences......Page 450
20 Elimination by Aspects: A Theory of Choice......Page 480
21 Preference Trees......Page 510
22 Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk......Page 566
23 On the Elicitation of Preferences for Alternative Therapies......Page 600
24 Rational Choice and the Framing of Decisions......Page 610
25 Contrasting Rational and Psychological Analyses of Political Choice......Page 638
26 Preference and Belief: Ambiguity and Competence in Choice under Uncertainty......Page 662
27 Advances in Prospect Theory: Cumulative Representation of Uncertainty......Page 690
28 Thinking through Uncertainty: Nonconsequential Reasoning and Choice......Page 720
29 Conflict Resolution: A Cognitive Perspective......Page 746
30 Weighing Risk and Uncertainty......Page 764
31 Ambiguity Aversion and Comparative Ignorance......Page 794
32 A Belief-Based Account of Decision under Uncertainty......Page 812
33 Self-Deception and the Voter’s Illusion......Page 842
34 Contingent Weighting in Judgment and Choice......Page 862
35 Anomalies: Preference Reversals......Page 892
36 Discrepancy between Medical Decisions for Individual Patients and for Groups......Page 904
37 Loss Aversion in Riskless Choice: A Reference-Dependent Model......Page 912
38 Endowment and Contrast in Judgments of Well-Being......Page 934
39 Reason-Based Choice......Page 954
40 Context-Dependence in Legal Decision Making......Page 980
Amos Tversky’s Complete Bibliography......Page 1012
Index......Page 1018