International Seminar On Nuclear War And Planetary Emergencies, 38Th Session: E.majorana Centre for Scientific Culture Erice, Italy, 19-24 Aug 2007 (The ... - Nuclear Strategy and Peace Technology)

CONTENTS......Page 10
1. OPENING SESSION......Page 18
INTRODUCTION......Page 20
LANDSCAPE SPECIES-THE CRANE......Page 22
DEGRADATION OF FORESTS......Page 23
BIODIVERSITY AND CARBON DISTRIBUTION IN YOUNG PLANTATIONS......Page 24
BIODIVERSITY AND CARBON DISTRIBUTION IN OLD PINE FORESTS......Page 25
RIODIVERSlTY AND CARBON DISTRIBUTION IN BEECH FOMSTS......Page 26
WETEROGENOUS LANDSCAPE......Page 28
Yuri A. lzrael The Role of Stratospheric Aerosols in Antagonizing the Global Climate Change......Page 30
RADIATIVE FORCING COMPONENTS......Page 31
REFERENCES......Page 37
Mikhail J. Antonovsky From Monitoring of COz Atmospheric Concentrations to Monitoring of Global Climatic Change......Page 38
FIT EQUATION......Page 41
ANALYSIS RATE OF INCREASE ATMOSPHERIC COz CONCENTRATION AT EACH MONTH OF THE OBSERVATIONS AT MLO AND BRW STATION......Page 44
THE THEORETICAL BASE:......Page 53
Giuseppe Vatinno Energy and Environment: A Challenge for the Future......Page 60
REFERENCES......Page 64
Andre' Martin Acceptance of the Gian-Carlo Wick Gold Medal......Page 66
INTRODUCTION......Page 68
COMPLEXlTY AND PREDICTIONS AT THE FUNDAMENTAL LEVEL OF SCIENTIFIC KNOWLEDGE......Page 69
PROBLEMS WITH THE MATHEMATICAL MODELING FOR “CLIMATIC CHANGES”......Page 72
A FEW WORDS ON THE ORIGIN OF IPCC......Page 73
CONCLUSIONS......Page 74
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS......Page 75
REFERENCES......Page 89
2. ENERGY & CLIMATE FOCUS: MANAGING CLIMATE CHANGE-INTRODUCTION......Page 94
William A. Sprigs and John S. Perry Climate, Energy and Planetary Emergency......Page 96
Arthur H. Rosenfeld Managing Climate Change......Page 98
HOW MUCH OF THE SAVINGS COME FROM EFFICIENCY......Page 99
POSSIBLE!. EMISSION TRAJECTORIES 2000-2100 OF GLOBAL EMISSIONS......Page 102
INDUSTRY......Page 103
TRANSPORTATION......Page 104
MCKINSEY QUARTERLY......Page 105
SUPPLY CURVE FOR COz, CONSERVED THRU ENERGY EFFlCIENCY IN ELECTRICTTY SECTOR IN CALIFORNIA-POTENTIAL IN 201 1 AT 1 KWH = 0.454 KG OF COz......Page 108
IMPACT OF STANDARDS ON EFFICIENCY OF 3 APPLIANCES......Page 110
ANNUAL ENERGY SAVED VS. SEVERAL SOURCES OF SUPPLY IN THE UNITED STATES......Page 111
COMPARISON OF 3 GORGES TO REFRIGERATOR AND AC EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS......Page 112
CALIFORNIA IOU's INVESTMENT IN ENERGY EFFICIENCY......Page 113
ANNUAL ENERGY SAVINGS FROM EFFICIENCY PROGRAMS AND STANDARDS......Page 114
3. ENERGY & CLIMATE FOCUS: MANAGING CLIMATE CHANGE-CLIMATOLOGY......Page 116
Filippo Giorgi Climate Change: Key Conclusions from the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report (IPCC-AR4)......Page 118
lgor Bashmakov Energy Transitions (Camera-Ready Contribution Not Available)......Page 11
INTRODUCTION......Page 120
DEFINITION AND HISTORICAL EXAMPLES......Page 121
HAVE WE ALREADY TIPPED SOME ELEMENTS?......Page 123
POTENTIAL FUTURE TIPPING ELEMENTS......Page 124
INTERACTIONS BETWEEN TIPPING ELEMENTS......Page 127
WHAT CAN WE DO ABOUT TIPPING POINTS?......Page 128
REFERENCES......Page 130
4. ENERGY & CLIMATE FOCUS: MANAGING CLIMATE CHANGE-MITIGATION OF GREENHOUSE GASES......Page 132
IPCC WORKING GROUP H: SNAPSHOTS OF THE FUTURE......Page 134
IPCC WORKING GROUP m, MITIGATION OF CLIMATE CHANGE......Page 135
HOW CAN EMISSIONS BE REDUCED?......Page 139
HOW CAN CARBON SINKS BE ENHANCED?......Page 140
INVESTMENTS......Page 142
Arthur H. Rosenfeld and Patrick McAuliffe Opportunities in the Building Sector: Managing Climate Change......Page 144
ENERGY EFFICIENCY......Page 154
ADVANCED FUEL ECONOMY TECHNOLOGIES......Page 156
LOW EMISSION FUELS......Page 158
EMISSION SCENARIOS......Page 161
SIMULATION RESULTS......Page 163
REFERENCES......Page 169
THEIDEA......Page 172
PO RIVER VALLEY......Page 173
PRODUCTION......Page 174
ENERGY PRODUCTION......Page 175
ECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS......Page 176
RELEVANCE......Page 177
FURTHER DEVELOPMENT......Page 178
DIRECT AND INDIRECT EFFECTS OF LIGHTCOLORED SURFACES......Page 180
COOL ROOF TECHNOLOGIES......Page 181
COOLAND STANDARD COLOR-MATCHED CONCRETE TILES......Page 182
COOL SURFACES ALSO COOL THE GLOBE......Page 183
POTENTlALS TO INCREASE URBAN ALBEDOS 0.1......Page 184
EQUIVALENT VALUE OF AVOIDED COz......Page 185
TYPICAL INTERIOR LAYOUT OF THEi WATEFM3ALTH COILIMUNITY SYSTEM INSTALLATION IN KOTHAPETA ANDHRA PRADESH, INDIA.......Page 186
SWITCHING FROM KEROSENE LANTERNS TO RECHARGEABLE LEDS......Page 187
RECHARGEABLE LED FLASHLIGHTS AND TASK LIGHTS ALREADY AVAILABLE......Page 188
5. ENERGY & CLIMATE FOCUS: MANAGING CLIMATE CHANGE-FILLING THE GAP: GEO-ENGINEERING AND ADAPTATION......Page 190
INTRODUCTION......Page 192
REFERENCES......Page 201
INTRODUCTION......Page 204
BASIS OF COMPARISON......Page 205
CONCLUDING REMARKS......Page 206
REFERENCES......Page 207
INTRODUCTION......Page 208
THE STATUS OF CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION EFFORTS......Page 209
ADAPTATION HAS LIMITS......Page 210
MITIGATION (AND GEOENGINEERING) SHOULD COMPLEMENT ADAPTATION AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT......Page 211
REFERENCES......Page 212
6. ENERGY & CLIMATE FOCUS: MANAGING CLIMATE CHANGE- SUMMARIES & DEBATE......Page 214
ON SESSION 1......Page 216
ON SESSION 3......Page 219
ON SESSION 4......Page 220
ON SESSION 5......Page 221
ON SESSION 6......Page 222
7. MISSILE PROLIFERATION AND DEFENSE FOCUS: US. MISSILE DEFENSE SHIELD......Page 224
Richard Wilson The 2007 Bush-Putin Disagreement — Some Background on Anti Ballistic Missile Defense......Page 226
Richard L. Ganvin Ballistic Missile Defense Deployment to Poland and the Czech Republic......Page 230
REFERENCES......Page 237
8. CLIMATE FOCUS: THEORETICAL ALTERNATIVES TO CLIMATE MODELING......Page 238
INTRODUCTION: A THEORY FOR CLIMATE......Page 240
Graeme L. Stephens Model Limitations......Page 242
SIMULATING OBSERVED GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE......Page 243
OBSERVED ELEMENTS WATER VAPOR FEEDBACK......Page 244
WATER VAPOR FEEDBACK IN THE FAR MODELS......Page 245
HOW WELL IS THE LINK BETWEEN DYNAMICS AND PFW3PITATION UNDERSTOOD & MODELED?......Page 248
THE NATURE OF TROPICAL CONVECTION IN AOGCMS......Page 250
DYNAMICS AND THE BULK TRANSPORT OF HEAT POLEWARD......Page 251
ABSTRACT......Page 254
REFERENCES......Page 258
METHODS AND RESULTS FROM OBSERVATIONS......Page 260
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS......Page 263
REFERENCES......Page 264
9. GLOBAL MONITORING OF THE PLANET FOCUS: THE NORTH POLE AND LIFE CYCLE NUCLEAR ENERGY ENVIRONMENTAL ISSUES......Page 266
Arthur Nikolayevich Chilingarov Opening Remarks......Page 268
REVIEW OF SELECTED LITERATURE......Page 270
APPLICATION......Page 281
REFERENCES......Page 283
INTRODUCTION......Page 288
THE ROLE OF NUCLEAR ON ACHIEVING A SUSTAINABLE ENERGY DISTRIBUTION BY 2040......Page 289
ADDRESSING NUCLEAR ISSUES......Page 291
CHARACTERISTICS OF A GEOLOGIC REPOSITORY FOR RECYCLED NUCLEAR WASTE......Page 293
MASSIVE BEDDED SALT OF THE SALADO FORMATION......Page 294
REFERENCES......Page 296
WEBSITES......Page 297
10. BRAIN DISEASES FOCUS: THE CRISIS OF LOSING MINDS THE EPIDEMIC OF ALZHEIMER’S DISEASE IN THE 21ST CENTURY......Page 298
Bemardino Ghetti How the Brain Changes in Alzheimer’s Disease......Page 300
AUGUSTE D.......Page 303
NEUROFIBRILLARY TANGLES......Page 304
NEUR OFIBRILLARY DEGENERATION......Page 305
BRAIN ATROPHY......Page 306
NEOCORIHX PLAQUES & TANGLES......Page 307
SI !NILE PLAQUE......Page 308
AMYLOID CORE......Page 309
AMYLOID PRECURSOR PROTEIN GENE......Page 310
POSSIBLE FVNCTIONS OF APP......Page 311
NORMAL PROCESSING OF APP......Page 312
NEUROFIBRELLARY TANGLES......Page 313
PAIRED-HELICAL RLAMENTS......Page 314
TAU GENE & TAU PROTEIN......Page 315
TAU MUTATIONS AFFECT MICROTUBULE STABILITY AND NEWRONAL SURVIVAL......Page 316
TAU DEPOSITS IN NEURONS......Page 317
LOSS OF SPINES......Page 318
NUCLEUS BASALIS AND CNOLINERGIC PROJECTIONS......Page 319
PERFORANT PATHWAY......Page 320
APP MUTATIONS......Page 321
PROTEIN MISFOLDING AND FIBRIL, FORMATION: CENTRAL PATHOLOGY OF MOST NEURODEGENERATIVE DISORDERS?......Page 322
NEUROFIBRILLARY TANGLES AND NEURITIC PLAQUES: MODERN TECHNIQUES......Page 324
MAKING THE, DIAGNOSIS OF AD......Page 325
TANGLE (NFI') & PLAQUE (NP) DISTRIBUTION IN AD BRAIN AT AUTOPSY......Page 326
PLAQUE PROGRESSION IN AD......Page 327
AD OLIGOMERIZATION: FROM MONOMER TO OLIGOMERS TO FIBRILS......Page 328
PATHOLOGICAL STATUS OF MCI CASES......Page 329
NEUROPATHOLOGY OF HUMAN ALZHEIMER DISEASE AFTER IMMUNIZATION WITH AMYLOID-B PEPTIDE: A CASE REPORT......Page 330
PLAQUES IN IMMUNIZED SUBJECT......Page 331
PiB IS DIFFERENTIALLY RETAINED ONLY IN AREAS OF AD BRAIN THAT CONTAIN AMYLOID......Page 332
PiB PET IN AD AND CONTROL......Page 333
PiB REENTION IN VIVO CORRELATES WEEL WITH AB AND PLAQUE LEVELS, BUT NOT NFT, DETERMINED POST-MORTEM......Page 334
ANTI-AMYLOID AGENTS......Page 335
MEAN CORTICAL KB BINDING IN NONDEMENTED CONTROLS AND AD (N=41)......Page 336
CORONARY HEART DISEASE AGE-ADJUSTED DEATH RATES: ACTUAL AND EXPECTED UNIED STATES 1950-2000......Page 337
Charles DeCarli Biological Evidence for an Interaction between AD and CVD: Overview and 3 Hypotheses......Page 338
NEUROIMAGING AND BEHAVIORAL EVIDENCE FOR A SECOND MECHANISM OF MEMORY LOSS IN CVD......Page 344
THE CLINICAL PICTURE......Page 358
SNAPSHOTS......Page 359
SECRET FORMULA......Page 361
RISK FACTOR: A SIGNAL......Page 362
RISK FACTORS CAN REPRESENT DIFFERENT MECHANISMS......Page 363
VASCULAR RISK......Page 369
SOCIETAL DILEMMAS......Page 370
John Hardy Alzheimer’s Disease: Genetics to Pathogenesis......Page 372
11. MEDICINE AND INFECTIOUS DISEASES FOCUS: INFECTIOUS AGENTS AND CANCER......Page 382
THE BL STORY......Page 384
PREVENTIVE STRATEGIES IN INFECTIOUS AGENTS-RELATED CANCERS......Page 385
INFECTIOUS DISEASES AND CANCER......Page 386
REFERENCES......Page 387
WORLD POPULATION......Page 388
MAJOR HLJIvIAN DISEASES......Page 389
BIGGEST SINGLE AGENT KILLERS......Page 390
CANCER......Page 391
WHAT IS THE EMERGENCY?......Page 398
ABSTRACT......Page 400
BACKGROUND......Page 401
INFECTIOUS AGENTS AND CANCER......Page 402
REFERENCES......Page 408
Massimo Locati Molecular Links between Inflammation and Cancer......Page 410
REFERENCES......Page 412
DUALITY......Page 414
Cancer Vaccines Jacques-Francois Martin Developing Countries Intervention Programs (Camera-Ready Contribution Not Available)......Page 14
12. WFS GENERAL MEETING PMP REPORTS-DEBATE AND CONCLUSION......Page 420
Henning Wegener Permanent Monitoring Panel Report on Information Security......Page 422
NATIONAL STRATEGIES AND CAPABILITIES......Page 424
SUMMARY OF THE POLLUTION EMERGENCY......Page 426
WORKSHOPS AND SEMINAR SESSIONS......Page 427
PROJECT PHASES......Page 429
PROJECTED FUTURE ACTIVITIES......Page 430
Geraldo G. Serra Permanent Monitoring Panel on Limits of Development......Page 434
AIDS AND INFECTIOUS DISEASES PMP PLENARY SESSION & WORKSHOP......Page 436
A STEERING COMMITTEE ON GLOBAL HEALTH ISSUES......Page 437
EXAMPLE: RISE OF CHRONIC DISEASE IN LOW-MID INCOME COUNTRIES......Page 438
MISSION STATEMENT......Page 439
Arthur H. Rosenfeld Recommendation to Governments from the Permanent Monitoring Panel on Energy......Page 440
REFERENCES......Page 441
William A. Sprigg Permanent Monitoring Panel on Climate and Greenhouse Gases......Page 442
THE URGENCY OF ADDRESSING CLIMATE CHANGE......Page 443
BACKGROUND......Page 446
WHAT DID WE ACCOMPLISH LAST YEAR?......Page 447
EVIDENCE-BASED STATEMENTS......Page 448
REMARK......Page 449
DIFFUSION AT A COUNTRY SCALE......Page 450
KANGAROO MOTHER METHOD IN EUROPE. 2006......Page 452
THE PROBLEM: INFLUENCE OF STIMULI ON THE IMMATURE BRAIN......Page 454
THE PROBLEM......Page 455
MAIN TOPIC OF CONFEFUZNCE WHY KMC IN A HIGH Tf?CH SETTING?......Page 456
Ahmad Kamal Permanent Monitoring Panel on Terrorism......Page 458
13. BRAIN AND BEHAVIOR WORKSHOP......Page 462
Workshop Agenda......Page 463
Workshop Participants......Page 464
14. ENERGY-CLIMATE WORKSHOP......Page 466
SUBMISSION TO POLICY MAKERS AND LEGISLATORS......Page 468
APPENDIX......Page 469
URANIUM RESOURCE RECOMMENDATION......Page 470
GEOENGINEERING RECOMMENDATION......Page 471
Workshop Participants......Page 472
15. INFECTIOUS DISEASES WORKSHOP......Page 474
Workshop Agenda......Page 475
Workshop Participants......Page 476
16. CLIMATE MODELLING WORKSHOP......Page 478
Workshop Agenda......Page 479
INTRODUCTION BY CHRISTOPHER ESSEX......Page 480
WORKSHOP PRESENTATlONS......Page 481
Report on the Workshop Theoretical Alternatives to Climate Modelling......Page 482
Workshop Participants......Page 495
17. INFORMATION SECURITY WORKSHOP......Page 496
THE CHRONOLOGY......Page 498
THE MODALITY......Page 499
NATIONAL SECURITY IMPLICATIONS......Page 500
CONCLUSIONS-WHAT CAN BE DONE......Page 502
INTRODUCTION......Page 504
IT SECURITY AWARENESS AND IT SECURITY COMPETENCE IN SOCIETY......Page 505
VULNERABILITIES OF AND THREATS TO IT SYSTEMS......Page 506
IT SECURITY IN INNOVATIVE TECHNOLOGIES......Page 511
TRENDS......Page 515
SUMMARY......Page 518
REFERENCES......Page 519
INTRODUCTORY REMARKS......Page 520
TECHNOLOGICAL AND TECHNICAL INNOVATIONS......Page 522
NEW COMPUTING PARADIGMS AND STRUCTURES......Page 523
NEW SERVICES AND APPLICATIONS......Page 525
REFERENCES......Page 527
FIGURES......Page 529
Workshop Participants......Page 533
18. LIMITS OF DEVELOPMENT WORKSHOP......Page 534
Workshop Agenda......Page 535
INTRODUCTION......Page 536
EXISTING RESEARCH ON COASTAL DEVELOPMENT IN THE U.S.: SETTING THE STAGE FOR FUTURE DISASTER......Page 537
SHORTCOMINGS OF U.S. POLICY......Page 539
PREVENTING AND CONTROLLING DEVELOPMENT: SOUTH CAROLINA AND CHARLESTON......Page 541
ROLLING EASEMENTS: TEXAS AND SURFSIDE CITY......Page 544
DO NOTHING: NORTH CAROLINA AND THE OUTER BANKS......Page 546
REFERENCES......Page 548
Geraldo G. Serra Dealing with Climate Change: The Brazilian Case......Page 550
CONCLUSIONS......Page 554
REFERENCES......Page 555
CONSEQUENCES FOR EUROPE......Page 556
CONCLUSION......Page 561
WATER......Page 562
NATURAL RESOURCES MANAGEMENT......Page 563
HEATH......Page 564
TEMPERATURE: TMNRS 1901-1995......Page 565
TEMPERATURE PROJECTIONS......Page 566
WATER......Page 567
HEALTH-MALARIA......Page 568
DISASER RISK MANAGEMENT......Page 569
GEOLOGICAL......Page 572
POLITICAL......Page 573
PRESENT WESTWARD DISPLACEMENT OF ISOETS......Page 574
AGRICULTURE AND SOIL USE CHANGE......Page 575
THE FLUVIAL — IND'USTRTAL MEGACflY OF ARGENTINA......Page 580
CONCLUSIONS......Page 581
REFERENCES......Page 582
Workshop Participants......Page 583
19. SEMINAR PARTICIPANTS......Page 584
Seminar Participants......Page 586