How to Actually Change Your Mind

Introduction
Overly Convenient Excuses
	Tsuyoku Naritai! (I Want to Become Stronger)
	The Proper Use of Humility
	Tsuyoku vs. the Egalitarian Instinct
	The Third Alternative
	Lotteries: A Waste of Hope
	New Improved Lottery
	But There\'s Still a Chance, Right?
	The Fallacy of Gray
	Absolute Authority
	How to Convince Me That 2 + 2 = 3
	Infinite Certainty
	0 And 1 Are Not Probabilities
	Your Rationality Is My Business
Politics and Rationality
	Politics is the Mind-Killer
	Policy Debates Should Not Appear One-Sided
	The Scales of Justice, the Notebook of Rationality
	Correspondence Bias
	Are Your Enemies Innately Evil?
	Reversed Stupidity Is Not Intelligence
	Argument Screens Off Authority
	Hug the Query
	Rationality and the English Language
	Human Evil and Muddled Thinking
Against Rationalization
	Knowing About Biases Can Hurt People
	Update Yourself Incrementally
	One Argument Against An Army
	The Bottom Line
	What Evidence Filtered Evidence?
	Rationalization
	A Rational Argument
	Avoiding Your Belief\'s Real Weak Points
	Motivated Stopping and Motivated Continuation
	Fake Justification
	Is That Your True Rejection?
	Entangled Truths, Contagious Lies
	Of Lies and Black Swan Blowups
	Dark Side Epistemology
Seeing with Fresh Eyes
	Anchoring and Adjustment
	Priming and Contamination
	Do We Believe Everything We\'re Told?
	Cached Thoughts
	Original Seeing
	The Virtue of Narrowness
	Stranger than History
	The Logical Fallacy of Generalization from Fictional Evidence
	We Change Our Minds Less Often Than We Think
	Hold Off On Proposing Solutions
	The Genetic Fallacy
Death Spirals
	The Affect Heuristic
	Evaluability (and Cheap Holiday Shopping)
	Unbounded Scales, Huge Jury Awards, and Futurism
	The Halo Effect
	Superhero Bias
	Affective Death Spirals
	Resist the Happy Death Spiral
	Uncritical Supercriticality
	Evaporative Cooling of Group Beliefs
	When None Dare Urge Restraint
	Every Cause Wants to Be a Cult
	Two Cult Koans
	Asch\'s Conformity Experiment
	On Expressing Your Concerns
	Lonely Dissent
	Cultish Countercultishness
Letting Go
	Singlethink
	The Importance of Saying ``Oops\"
	The Crackpot Offer
	Just Lose Hope Already
	The Proper Use of Doubt
	You Can Face Reality
	The Meditation on Curiosity
	No One Can Exempt You From Rationality\'s Laws
	Leave a Line of Retreat
	Crisis of Faith
	Postlude: The Ritual
	Glossary
	Bibliography