Greenhouse-Gas-Induced Climatic Change: A Critical Appraisal of Simulations and Observations

Content: 
Further Titles in this Series
Page ii

Front Matter
Page iii

Copyright page
Page iv

Preface
Page ix

Acknowledgements
Page xi
Michael E. Schlesinger

Inside Front Cover
Pages xii-xiii

Participants
Pages xv-xix

A Statistical Intercomparison of Temperature and Precipitation Predicted by Four General Circulation Models with Historical Data
Pages 3-16
Stanley L. Grotch

Comparing and Contrasting Holocene and Eemian Warm Periods with Greenhouse-Gas-Induced Warming
Pages 17-33
Michael C. MacCracken, John Kutzbach

Utilization of Paleoclimate Results to Validate Projections of a Future Greenhouse Warming
Pages 35-45
Thomas J. Crowley

The Equilibrium Response to Doubling Atmospheric CO2
Pages 49-61
John F.B. Mitchell

Computer Experiments with a Coarse-Grid Hydrodynamic Climate Model
Pages 63-68
Georgi L. Stenchikov

Climate Variability and Climate Change
Pages 69-78
D. Rind

Characteristics of Coupled Atmosphere-Ocean CO2 Sensitivity Experiments with Different Ocean Formulations
Pages 79-110
Warren M. Washington, Gerald A. Meehl

The Southern Oscillation in a Coupled GCM: Implications for Climate Sensitivity and Climate Change
Pages 111-128
Gerald A. Meehl

Climatic Response to a Gradual Increase of Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide
Pages 129-136
R.J. Stouffer, S. Manabe, K. Bryan

Preliminary Assessment of the Performance of a Global Coupled Atmosphere-Ocean Model
Pages 137-150
Ulrich Cubasch

Marine and Land Temperature Data Sets: A Comparison and a Look at Recent Trends
Pages 153-172
P.D. Jones, T.M.L. Wigley, G. Farmer

Worldwide Surface Temperature Trends Since the Mid-19th Century
Pages 173-193
D.E. Parker, C.K. Folland

Climate Trends, the U.S. Drought of 1988, and Access to Data
Pages 195-209
ROY L. Jenne

Regional Greenhouse Climate Effects
Pages 211-229
J. Hansen, D. Rind, A. Delgenio, A. Lacis, S. Lebedeff, M. Prather, R. Ruedy, T. Karl

Changes in Tropospheric and Stratospheric Global Temperatures, 1958-1988
Pages 231-247
J.K. Angell

Representativeness of a 63-Station Network for Depicting Climate Changes
Pages 249-259
Kevin E. Trenberth, JERRY G. OLSON

Soil Moisture Content with Global Warming
Pages 261-268
K.YA. Vinnikov

Some Characteristics of Wet and Dry Regimes in the Contiguous United States: Implications for Climate Change Detection Efforts
Pages 269-296
H.F. Diaz

Data on Present-Day Precipitation Changes in the Extratropical Part of the Northern Hemisphere
Pages 297-310
P.YA. Groisman

Monitoring Tropospheric Water Vapor Changes Using Radiosonde Data
Pages 311-327
W.P. Elliott, M.E. Smith, J.K. Angell

Observational Evidence of Changes in Global Snow and Ice Cover
Pages 329-345
R.G. Barry

Observations of Long-Term Tide-Gauge Records for Indications of Accelerated Sea-Level Rise
Pages 347-367
V. Gornitz, A. Solow

The Southern Oscillation and Northern Hemisphere Temperature Variability
Pages 369-376
Chester F. Ropelewski, Michael S. Halpert

Recent Climate Changes in the Northern Hemisphere
Pages 377-390
Kevin E. Trenberth

Pre-Instrumental Climate: How Has Climate Varied During the Past 500 Years?
Pages 391-410
R.S. Bradley

The Effects of Solar Variability on Climate
Pages 413-428
M.I. Hoffert

The Volcanic Contribution to Climate Change of the Past 100 Years
Pages 429-443
Alan Robock

Chaos, Spontaneous Climatic Variations and Detection of the Greenhouse Effect
Pages 445-453
Edward N. Lorenz

Natural Climate Variability in a Coupled Model
Pages 457-469
Stephen E. Zebiak, Mark A. Cane

Internally Generated Natural Variability of Global-Mean Temperatures
Pages 471-482
T.M.L. Wigley, S.C.B. Raper

Multivariate Statistical Assessments of Greenhouse-Gas-Induced Climatic Change and Comparison with Results from General Circulation Models
Pages 483-503
Christian-D. Schönwiese

On the Statistical Comparison of Climate Model Output and Climate Data
Pages 505-510
Andrew R. Solow

Multivariate Methods for the Detection of Greenhouse-Gas-Induced Climate Change
Pages 511-536
B.D. Santer, T.M.L. Wigley, P.D. Jones, M.E. Schlesinger

On Greenhouse Gas Signal Detection Strategies
Pages 537-558
T.P. Barnett, M.E. Schlesinger, Xingjian Jiang

An Attempt to Detect the Greenhouse-Gas Signal in a Transient GCM Simulation
Pages 559-568
T.P. Barnett

Working Group 1: Observations
Pages 571-582
(CHAIRMAN), K. Trenberth, J. Angell, R. Barry, R. Bradley, H. Diaz, W. Elliott, R. Etkins, C. Folland, R. Jenne, P. Jones, T. Karl, S. Levitus, A. Oort, D. Parker, C. Ropelewski, K. Vinnikov, T. Wigley

Working Group 2: A Critical Appraisal of Model Simulations
Pages 583-591
M. MacCracken, U. Cubasch, W.L. Gates, L.D. Harvey, B. Hunt, R. Katz, E. Lorenz, S. Manabe, B. McAvaney, N. McFarlane, G. Meehl, V. Meleshko, A. Robock, G. Stenchikov, R. Stouffer, W.-C. Wang, W. Washington, R. Watts, S. Zebiak

Working Group 3: Greenhouse Signal Detection
Pages 593-602
T. Barnett, H. Ellsaesser, P.YA. Groisman, S. Grotch, G. Jenkins, D. Karoly, M. Riches, B. Santer, C. Schönwiese, K. Vinnikov, F. Zwiers

Index
Pages 603-615