French Presidential Elections

Cover......Page 1
Series page......Page 2
Title......Page 4
Copyright......Page 5
Dedication......Page 6
Contents......Page 8
List of Illustrations......Page 11
Foreword......Page 15
Preface......Page 19
1 Introduction......Page 22
1.1 French party competition......Page 23
1.2 French electoral institutions and the presidency......Page 26
1.3 Theories of French elections......Page 30
1.4 Our theoretical approach......Page 33
2 Social Structure......Page 36
2.1 An analytical method of explaining vote choice in France......Page 37
2.2 Socio-demographic determinants of vote choice in France......Page 38
2.3 A bivariate analysis of socio-demographic determinants of the presidential vote in France......Page 41
2.4 A multivariate analysis of socio-demographic determinants of the presidential vote in France......Page 52
2.5 Conclusion......Page 59
3 Class and Patrimony......Page 62
3.1 Occupation, economic sector, and the vote......Page 65
3.2 Occupation, economic sector, and the vote: contemporary bivariate results......Page 69
3.3 Income, patrimony, and the vote......Page 74
3.4 A multivariate analysis of the impact of socioeconomic variables on voting: cumulative results......Page 76
3.5 A multivariate analysis of the impact ofsocioeconomic variables on voting: detailed results......Page 83
3.6 Conclusion......Page 87
4 Left-Right Ideology......Page 89
4.1 The meaning of left-right ideology......Page 90
4.2 Ideological identification vs. party identification......Page 94
4.3 Ideology and the vote: bivariate results......Page 96
4.4 Ideology and the vote: multivariate results......Page 102
4.5 Conclusion......Page 106
5 The Role of Issues......Page 108
5.1 The meaning of issue voting......Page 109
5.2 Economics and the French voter......Page 116
5.3 Economics and the French voter: bivariate relationships......Page 119
5.4 Immigration and the French voter......Page 121
5.5 Immigration and the French voter: bivariate relationships......Page 123
5.6 Economics and immigration: multivariate relationships......Page 125
5.7 Adding Europe to the equation......Page 128
5.8 Conclusion......Page 132
6 Leader Image......Page 134
6.1 Leader image in French electoral studies......Page 135
6.2 Components of leader image......Page 137
6.3 Candidate image in French presidential elections......Page 141
6.4 General and specific evaluations of presidential candidates......Page 146
6.5 The impact of candidate image on French presidential voting......Page 156
6.6 Conclusion......Page 160
7 Campaign Influence......Page 162
7.1 Campaign attentiveness......Page 165
7.2 Time of vote decision......Page 172
7.3 The impact of television......Page 176
7.4 Conclusion......Page 181
8 Conclusion......Page 184
8.1 First round versus second round: the institutional context......Page 185
8.2 Change and continuity in French presidential elections......Page 186
8.3 Is the French electoral system “stalled”?......Page 190
8.4 Short-term vs. long-term factors......Page 191
8.5 Is a theory of French presidential elections possible?......Page 194
8.6 The French voter in perspective......Page 195
Appendix......Page 198
Notes......Page 234
Bibliography......Page 236
Index......Page 248