Disaggregated impacts of CAP reforms : proceedings of an OECD workshop.

Foreword......Page 5
Table of contents......Page 7
Abbreviations......Page 9
Overview......Page 11
The Impact of Decoupling on Agricultural Markets and Farm Performance......Page 15
The impact of decoupling and modulation in the European Union: a sectoral and farm level assessment......Page 17
The IDEMA project......Page 18
Survey-based analysis of farmers’ intentions......Page 20
Farm survival and growth......Page 21
Farmers’ attitudes and expectations......Page 23
Agent-based regional modelling......Page 24
The AgriPoliS model......Page 25
New member states (EU10)......Page 27
Impacts of decoupling on farming in EU15......Page 28
Notes......Page 33
References......Page 34
The economic impact of allowing partial decoupling under the 2003 Common Agricultural Policy reforms......Page 37
Partial decoupling......Page 40
Quantifying the impact of partial decoupling......Page 44
Results......Page 45
Conclusions......Page 51
Notes......Page 52
References......Page 53
The Impact of the Single Payment Scheme on Land Markets and Farm Structure......Page 55
European Union land markets and the Common Agricultural Policy......Page 57
The basic model......Page 58
Empirical insights from literature......Page 60
Evidence from EU accession......Page 61
Evidence from the 2003 CAP reforms......Page 64
SPS entitlements: activation, trade and valuation......Page 69
Distribution of SPS benefits......Page 71
Notes......Page 73
References......Page 75
The impact of the Health Check on structural change and farm efficiency: a comparative assessment of three European agricultural regions......Page 77
Methodology......Page 79
The scenarios......Page 82
Initial data and results obtained......Page 84
Notes......Page 89
References......Page 90
Annex 4.A.1......Page 91
The Impact of Dairy Reform......Page 93
European Union dairy policy reform: impact and challenges......Page 95
Analytical framework of analysis......Page 97
Impact assessment of the 2003 reform and 2009 Health Check on the milk market......Page 100
Selected impacts at dairy farm level......Page 103
Evaluation......Page 107
Conclusions......Page 109
Notes......Page 111
References......Page 112
The impact of decoupling and price variation on dairy farmers’ strategy: overview of theoretical and real effects......Page 113
Materials and method......Page 114
Results......Page 121
Discussion......Page 129
Conclusions......Page 130
Note......Page 131
References......Page 132
The Impact of CAP Reform on the Agro-Food Industry......Page 135
Scenar 2020-II: Decomposition analysis to understand policy impacts on agricultural primary production and related processing sectors......Page 137
Importance of identifying individual policy effects......Page 138
Economic modelling......Page 139
CAP policy implementation in the economic modelling......Page 140
Decomposition technique for estimating individual policy impact......Page 142
Policy effects upon aggregated commodity production......Page 146
Policy effects on separate agricultural sector commodity production......Page 149
Agricultural land use......Page 150
Conclusions......Page 151
Notes......Page 152
The impact of the European Union sugar reform on the beet processing sector......Page 153
The EU sugar beet policy in the pre-reform period......Page 154
Major features of the reform......Page 155
What has been achieved by 2010?......Page 156
New-look EU sugar balance sheet......Page 157
International implications......Page 158
Note......Page 159
The Impact of CAP Reform on the Distribution of Support and Income......Page 161
The impact of SPS implementation options on the distribution of support......Page 163
Impacts of national implementations of SPS......Page 164
Implementation and impacts of SPS in Germany......Page 165
Alternative direct payment arrangement options......Page 173
Notes......Page 174
References......Page 175
The CAP Health Check in France: A significant redistribution of payments?......Page 177
The Health Check of the CAP......Page 178
A method for simulating measures resulting from the CAP Health Check......Page 183
Redistribution resulting from the CAP Health Check......Page 188
Conclusions......Page 193
Notes......Page 194
References......Page 195
Distribution of agricultural direct payments: the case of France......Page 197
Direct payment distribution: an institutional approach......Page 198
Compulsory and voluntary redistributing tools......Page 202
The hybrid status of the French historical decoupling scheme......Page 205
A new coupling rationale......Page 208
Conclusions......Page 210
Notes......Page 211
References......Page 213
The Impact of CAP Reform on the Environment......Page 215
The impact of CAP reform on the environment: some regional results......Page 217
Agent-based approach to environmental assessment......Page 220
Results of environmental impact assessment......Page 224
Impact on pollution risk......Page 231
Notes......Page 234
References......Page 235
Environmental consequences in Austria of the 2003 CAP reform......Page 237
CAP measures, subsidies and the environment......Page 238
Modelling the implementation of the 2003 CAP reform in Austria......Page 240
Ex ante model results and indicators before and after the CAP 2003 reform......Page 243
Conclusions......Page 246
Notes......Page 247
References......Page 248
The Impact of CAP Reform on Rural Development......Page 251
The impact of the CAP on regional employment: a multi-modelling cross-country approach......Page 253
Methodological background......Page 255
The case study regions......Page 256
A cross-regional assessment......Page 257
Conclusions......Page 263
Note......Page 264
References......Page 265
The impact of modulation as a policy instrument......Page 267
Methodology of the study on the impact of modulation......Page 268
Scenarios......Page 272
Results......Page 273
The impact of modulation......Page 283
Notes......Page 285
References......Page 286
Spatial structure of agricultural production in France: the role of the Common Agricultural Policy......Page 287
Regional specialisation......Page 288
Sectoral concentration......Page 290
Spatial autocorrelation......Page 292
Spatial regression models......Page 296
Variable description......Page 298
Conclusions......Page 303
Notes......Page 305
References......Page 306
Annex......Page 313