Developments in Demography in the 21st Century (The Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis, 48)

Contents
Contributors
Part I: Introduction
	Chapter 1: Developments in Demography
		1.1 Introduction
		1.2 Developments in Demography: Chapter Summaries
	Chapter 2: What’s Changing the World? A Demographer’s Perspective
		2.1 Introduction
		2.2 The Rising Burden of Noncommunicable Diseases
		2.3 The Four Risk Factors that Account for Most NCDS
		2.4 Conclusion
		References
Part II: Methodological and Statistical Issues
	Chapter 3: A Demographic Evaluation of the Stability of American Community Survey (ACS) Estimates for ACS Test Sites: 2000 to 2011
		3.1 Introduction
		3.2 Data and Methods
		3.3 Characteristics for Evaluation
		3.4 Geographic Areas
		3.5 Time Series of Census and ACS Estimates
		3.6 Results
			3.6.1 Bronx County, New York: Annual ACS Estimates
			3.6.2 Multnomah County, Oregon: 3-Year ACS Estimates
			3.6.3 Upson County, Georgia: 5-Year ACS Estimates
			3.6.4 Asian Population: Comparison of 5-Year ACS Estimates across Counties
			3.6.5 Signal from the Noise
		3.7 Conclusion
		References
	Chapter 4: Approaches for Addressing Missing Data in Statistical Analyses of Female and Male Adolescent Fertility
		4.1 Introduction
		4.2 Mechanisms: Why Are Data Missing
		4.3 Methods for Handling Missing Data
			4.3.1 Listwise Deletion
			4.3.2 Mean Substitution
			4.3.3 Mean Substitution for Subgroups
			4.3.4 Proxy Method
			4.3.5 Dropping the Variable(s) with Missing Data
			4.3.6 Multiple Imputation (MI) – Three Versions
		4.4 Data and Method
		4.5 Results
		4.6 Discussion
		References
	Chapter 5: Considering Local Measures of Poverty Using Shift-Share Techniques: A Comparative Analysis
		5.1 Introduction
		5.2 Shift-Share Analysis: Background
		5.3 Local Poverty Measures and Shift-Share Analysis
		5.4 Estimation Methodology & Data
			5.4.1 One-Way Fixed Effects Model
			5.4.2 Data
		5.5 Findings
		5.6 Conclusion
		References
Part III: Data Issues
	Chapter 6: Exploring Explanations for the High Net Undercount of Young Children in the 2010 U.S. Census
		6.1 Introduction
		6.2 The Undercount of Young Children
		6.3 Explanations for the High Net Undercount Rate of Young Children
		6.4 Summary
		References
	Chapter 7: Babies No Longer: Projecting the 100+ Population
		7.1 Introduction and Background
		7.2 Review of Past and Current Projections
		7.3 Alternate Research Projections
			7.3.1 Alternate Base Populations
			7.3.2 Alternate Survivorship Projections
		7.4 Summary and Conclusion
		References
	Chapter 8: Cohort Approaches Using Educational Data of the Czech Republic: Massification of Tertiary Education and Its Impact on Education Attainment
		8.1 Introduction
		8.2 Research Questions and Goals
		8.3 Theoretical Background
			8.3.1 The Second Demographic Transition
			8.3.2 Trow’s Conceptions of Elite, Mass and Universal Higher Education
			8.3.3 The Educational Attainment of the Population
		8.4 Development of the Czech Tertiary Educational System
			8.4.1 Indicators of Development of the Czech Tertiary System
			8.4.2 Cohort Entry Rate
			8.4.3 Net Entry Rate
		8.5 Educational Attainment Forecast
		8.6 Conclusion
		References
Part IV: Issues of Health, Aging, and Mortality
	Chapter 9: Factors Associated with Female Sterilization in Brazil
		9.1 Introduction
		9.2 Literature Review
		9.3 Data and Methods
		9.4 Results
		9.5 Discussion
		References
	Chapter 10: Aging and Family Support in the State of Mexico
		10.1 Introduction
		10.2 Background
		10.3 Data and Results
		10.4 Discussion
		References
	Chapter 11: Intimate Homicide Mortality in Alaska
		11.1 Introduction
		11.2 Data and Methods
		11.3 Demographic Features of the Subjects
		11.4 Three Theories of Intimate Homicide
		11.5 Results: Analyses of Twelve Cases in Alaska
		11.6 Discussion and Conclusion
		References
	Chapter 12: Cognitive Decline Among the Elderly: A Comparative Analysis of Mexicans in Mexico and in the United States
		12.1 Introduction
		12.2 Previous Research
		12.3 Data, Variables, and Methods
			12.3.1 Data
			12.3.2 Variables
				12.3.2.1 Dependent Variable
				12.3.2.2 Independent Variables
				12.3.2.3 Statistical Analyses
		12.4 Results
			12.4.1 Total HEPESE and MHAS Surveys
		12.5 Conclusions and Discussion
		References
Part V: Issues in Social Demography
	Chapter 13: The Urban Hierarchies of China and the United States
		13.1 Introduction
		13.2 Metropolitan and Urban Dominance
		13.3 Data and Methods
		13.4 Analysis and Findings
		13.5 Conclusion
		References
	Chapter 14: School District Formation as an Explanation for Spatial and Temporal Dimensions of Concentrated Poverty in Bexar County, Texas
		14.1 Introduction
		14.2 Neighborhood Poverty in Bexar County
			14.2.1 Historic Context
			14.2.2 Neighborhood and School Segregation as Reinforcing Mechanisms for Bexar County Poverty
		14.3 Explanations of Neighborhood Poverty: Review of Literature
		14.4 Data and Methods
			14.4.1 Independent Variables of Interest
			14.4.2 Analytic Strategy
		14.5 Results
		14.6 Discussion
		14.7 Policy Implications & Conclusions
		References
	Chapter 15: Union Formation Selectivity After Childbearing: Do Local Marriage Markets Matter?
		15.1 Introduction
		15.2 Marriage Selectivity
		15.3 Marital Search
		15.4 Research Aims and Expectations
		15.5 Data and Methods
			15.5.1 Sample Selection and Characteristics
			15.5.2 Dependent Variable
			15.5.3 Marriage Market Conditions
			15.5.4 Social Learning Characteristics
			15.5.5 Control Variables
			15.5.6 Partner/Wife Characteristics
		15.6 Analysis
		15.7 Results
		15.8 Discussion and Conclusion
		Appendix
		References
	Chapter 16: Minority Student Participation in International Programs
		16.1 Introduction
		16.2 Review of Literature
		16.3 International Education at Historically Black Colleges and Universities (HBCUs)
		16.4 Methodology
			16.4.1 Population and Sample
			16.4.2 Survey Design
		16.5 Analysis
			16.5.1 Sociodemographic Characteristics of the Study Respondents
			16.5.2 General Attitudes and Abilities
			16.5.3 Foreign Language Proficiency and Ability
			16.5.4 Formal International Education and Travel Experiences
			16.5.5 Perceived Benefits After Traveling Outside the U.S. for Academic Purposes
		16.6 Conclusion
		References
	Chapter 17: Community Well-being and Mexican Interstate Migration in the United States
		17.1 Introduction
		17.2 Measurement of Mexican Interstate Migration
		17.3 A Gravity Model and an Ecological Model of Migration
		17.4 Data and Methods
		17.5 Results
		17.6 Discussion
		References
	Chapter 18: Family Values and Work in the Mississippi Delta: Effects of Marriage and Employment on the Well-being of TANF Participants
		18.1 Introduction
		18.2 Review of Literature
			18.2.1 Marriage
			18.2.2 Work
			18.2.3 Marriage, Employment, & Economic Wellbeing
		18.3 Data and Methods
			18.3.1 Data
			18.3.2 Estimation Methods
			18.3.3 Dependent Variables
			18.3.4 Independent Variables
				18.3.4.1 Employment and Marital Transitions
				18.3.4.2 Characteristics of the Spouse
				18.3.4.3 Characteristics of Work
				18.3.4.4 Location
				18.3.4.5 Controls
		18.4 Results
			18.4.1 Logistic Regression Models
			18.4.2 Simulations
		18.5 Summary and Conclusion
		References
Index