China Under Hu Jintao: Opportunities, Dangers, and Dilemmas (Series on Contemporary China)

Contents......Page 6
China under Hu Jintao: Introduction Tun-jen Cheng, Jacques deLisle, and Deborah Brown......Page 8
THE PARTY-STATE......Page 12
DOMESTIC CONTEXTS......Page 18
EXTERNAL FACTORS......Page 26
1. Political Succession: Changing Guards and Changing Rules Joseph Fewsmith......Page 34
POLITICAL SUCCESSION......Page 40
THE POLITICAL REPORT OF THE SIXTEENTH PARTY CONGRESS......Page 46
CONCLUSION......Page 52
2. Is the Chinese State Apparatus Being Revamped? Yanzhong Huang......Page 54
Is Corruption in Decline?......Page 60
Political Patronage......Page 64
Merit, Upward Accountability, and Policy Enforcement Problems......Page 68
Bureaucratic Overexpansion and Public Financing Problems......Page 74
Bureaucratic Fragmentation and the Problems of Coordination and Regulation......Page 78
CONCLUSION......Page 81
3. Who Does the Party Represent?: From “Three Revolutionary Classes” to “Three Represents” Bruce J. Dickson......Page 82
WHY IS THE PARTY STILL IN POWER?......Page 86
THE PARTY AND THE PEOPLE......Page 88
WHO DOES THE PARTY REPRESENT?......Page 93
CONCLUSION......Page 102
4. Jiang Zemin’s Successors and China’s Growing Rich-Poor Gap Edward Friedman......Page 104
METHODOLOGY......Page 108
DATA......Page 113
PROJECTIONS......Page 128
5. Information Technology in China: A Double-Edged Sword Tun-jen Cheng......Page 142
BECOMING WIRED......Page 143
POLITICAL RISK......Page 148
GOVERNMENT MONITORING AND SANITIZING......Page 157
ENGAGE AND IMMUNIZE?......Page 166
CONCLUSION......Page 171
6. The Future of SOEs: From Shortage Economics to “Enron–omics”? Xiaobo Hu......Page 172
A DECENTRALIZED STRUCTURE......Page 175
NEW HUMAN CAPITAL......Page 178
ANOTHER ROUND OF SOE REFORM......Page 182
FROM SHORTAGE ECONOMICS TO “ENRON-OMICS” IN CHINA......Page 186
7. The Evolution of Elections in China Amy E. Gadsden......Page 192
VILLAGE ELECTIONS: THE FIRST DECADE......Page 193
TO THE TOWNSHIP......Page 198
TO THE CITIES: URBAN COMMITTEE ELECTIONS......Page 200
TO THE PARTY: INTRAPARTY DEMOCRACY......Page 201
TO THE PEOPLE: BEYOND GOVERNMENT ELECTIONS......Page 202
TAKING OFF THE TRAINING WHEELS: WILL CHINA MOVE TOWARD DEMOCRATIC ELECTIONS?......Page 203
8. What Does Buyun Township Mean in the Context of China’s Political Reform? Yawei Liu......Page 206
BUYUN TOWNSHIP AND ITS FIRST ELECTION......Page 209
RESPONSES TO THE FIRST ELECTION......Page 216
THE SECOND BUYUN ELECTION......Page 222
Nomination......Page 226
Determination of Final Candidates......Page 227
Campaigning......Page 228
Registration of Voters and Verification of Voter Identification......Page 229
Monitoring......Page 230
THE BUYUN ELECTIONS AND CHINA’S POLITICAL REFORM......Page 231
9. China and the WTO: Evolving Agendas of Economic Openness, Domestic Reform, and International Status, and Challenges of the Post-Accession Era Jacques deLisle......Page 236
SECURING MFN, FINDING DEVELOPMENT PARTNERS, BUILDING DOMESTIC REFORM COALITIONS, AND SEEKING INTERNATIONAL ACCEPTANCE: THE QUEST FOR GATT CONTRACTING PARTY STATUS IN THE 1980S......Page 239
LIBERALIZING TRADE, EXPANDING THE FOREIGN ECONOMIC PRESENCE, DEEPENING DOMESTIC REFORM, AND RACING FOR A ROLE IN A MORE ROBUST INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC REGIME: THE PURSUIT OF GATT/WTO MEMBERSHIP IN THE 1990S......Page 252
IMPLEMENTATION AND ACCESS, OPENNESS AND PROTECTIONISM, DOMESTIC BACKLASH AND MISSION CREEP, AND DEFINING CHINA’S (AND TAIWAN’S) ROLES: WTO MEMBERSHIP AND ITS DISCONTENTS IN THE 2000S......Page 273
10. China’s Accession into the WTO and China’s Financial Markets K. Thomas Liaw......Page 300
CHINA PROGRESSES TOWARD ACCESSION......Page 301
REGULATORY CHANGES IN THE FINANCIAL SERVICES INDUSTRY......Page 306
Banking......Page 309
Insurance......Page 310
Securities......Page 312
IMPLICATIONS FOR THE FINANCIAL INDUSTRY......Page 313
CONCLUSION......Page 315
11. China-ASEAN Relations: The Significance of an ASEAN-China Free Trade Area Alice D. Ba......Page 318
UNCERTAIN GLOBAL AND REGIONAL RELATIONS......Page 319
CHINA’S PROPOSAL......Page 325
ASEAN’S CONCERNS......Page 332
RESPONDING TO ASEAN’S CONCERNS......Page 337
FTA FEVER?......Page 344
AN EAST ASIAN FTA?......Page 350
CONCLUSION......Page 352
12. New Leadership Team, New Approaches toward Taiwan? Chih-cheng Lo......Page 356
NEW LEADERS FACING OLD AND NEW PROBLEMS......Page 358
THE TAIWAN POLICY OF CHINA’S THIRD-GENERATION LEADERSHIP......Page 362
NEW LEADERSHIP, NEW OPPORTUNITIES......Page 373
CONCLUSION......Page 377
13. China’s Relations with the United States and Japan: Status and Outlook Robert Sutter......Page 380
Troubled Relations, 2001......Page 382
Bush Administration China Policy......Page 389
Prospects for Cooperation......Page 401
Policy Formulation and Design......Page 403
CHINA’S RELATIONS WITH JAPAN......Page 405
Differences and Divergence since the 1990s......Page 406
Recent Moderating Factors in China-Japan Relations......Page 409
OUTLOOK FOR CHINA’S POLICY TOWARD THE UNITED STATES AND JAPAN......Page 412
Deborah Brown......Page 414
Jacques deLisle......Page 415
Edward Friedman......Page 416
Yanzhong Huang......Page 417
Yawei Liu......Page 418
Robert Sutter......Page 419
Index......Page 420