China Threat - Perceptions, Myths and Reality

Book Cover......Page 1
Half-Title......Page 2
Title......Page 3
Copyright......Page 4
Contents......Page 5
Acknowledgments......Page 7
Contributors......Page 8
Abbreviations......Page 12
Tables......Page 15
Introduction......Page 16
Factors Contributing to the China Threat Perception......Page 17
Origins of the China Threat Theory......Page 21
The China Threat: Perceptions, Myths and Reality......Page 25
Conclusion......Page 32
Notes......Page 34
Introduction......Page 36
The Official Chinese Response......Page 37
The Views of the Chinese Populace......Page 40
The Academic Response in China......Page 42
The Dangers of a China Threat......Page 48
Conclusion......Page 51
Notes......Page 54
Introduction......Page 58
Chinese Power and American Defence Strategy......Page 65
Assessing Future Regional Contingencies......Page 71
Notes......Page 78
CHAPTER THREE Reflecting Mirrors across the Taiwan Straits: American Perspectives on a China Threat......Page 80
Notes......Page 100
Introduction......Page 102
Nineteenth Century Russian Views of the ‘Yellow Peril’......Page 103
Perceptions of a China Threat in the Soviet Era......Page 104
Communist Party Conservatives and the ‘Chinese Threat to Socialism’......Page 106
The Rise and Fall of Border Trade......Page 107
The Question of ‘Demographic Expansion’......Page 108
Feelings about Border Demarcation......Page 111
 Public Perceptions of China in the Russian Far East......Page 112
Current Perspectives of the China Threat in Moscow......Page 114
Russia’s Official Policy towards the PRC......Page 119
Notes......Page 124
Introduction......Page 130
Military Aspects of the China Threat......Page 133
The Political Dimension of the China Threat......Page 135
China as an Environmental Threat......Page 139
The Threat Posed by Chinese Organised Crime and Piracy......Page 140
Conclusion......Page 142
Notes......Page 143
British Perceptions of a Threat from China, 1945–1997......Page 145
The Report of the Foreign Affairs Committee of the House of Commons13......Page 152
Conclusion......Page 160
Notes......Page 164
Threat Perception in Japanese Foreign Policy......Page 167
Threat Perception and Sino-Japanese Relations......Page 169
The Japanese Debate on a China Threat......Page 170
Analytical Frameworks......Page 171
1)  China as an Expansionist Hegemonic Superpower......Page 172
2)  China as a Weakened or Disintegrated Entity......Page 174
3)  A Crisis in the Taiwan Straits......Page 175
Japan’s Changing Policy towards the PRC......Page 176
Conclusion......Page 178
Notes......Page 179
Introduction......Page 183
South Korean Public and Elite Perceptions towards China......Page 184
China’s Changing Relations with North and South Korea......Page 187
The Korean Peninsula in the Context of Sino-US Competition......Page 190
Balancing American Alliance and Chinese Co-operation: The ROK’s Tact?......Page 193
Notes......Page 194
Introduction......Page 198
Indonesia-China Relations Until the 1990s: The Structure of a Troubled Relationship8......Page 199
The Historical-Traditional Dimension......Page 205
The Internal-Societal Dimension......Page 207
Indonesia-China Relations After Suharto: Change, Continuity and Prospects......Page 209
Wahid’s Foreign Policy Agenda and Domestic Requirements......Page 210
Perceptions of the Ethnic Chinese Minority......Page 213
The Changing Domestic Political Context......Page 215
China’s Regional Role......Page 216
Conclusion......Page 217
Notes......Page 218
Introduction......Page 223
Background: Singapore-PRC Relations during the Cold War......Page 225
The Post-Cold War Era: Singapore’s Security Concerns vis-à-vis the Rise of China......Page 226
China’s Military Modernisation Programme......Page 227
The Taiwan Issue......Page 229
The South China Sea Dispute......Page 231
China as a Potential Regional Hegemon......Page 234
Singapore and the Importance of Engaging China......Page 235
Singapore and the Balance of Power in the Asia-Pacific Region......Page 238
Conclusion......Page 240
Notes......Page 241
Hostile Perceptions, 1957–1970......Page 246
Shifting Perceptions: The Road to Normalisation......Page 249
Dual Perceptions: The Post-Normalisation Period......Page 255
The Impact of the Spratly Islands Dispute on Malaysian Perceptions......Page 256
Dr. Mahathir said Malaysia’s Perception of China......Page 262
Conclusion: Towards a Tacit Entente?......Page 264
Notes......Page 265
Introduction......Page 268
A Brief History of Philippine-PRC Relations......Page 269
Mischief Reef as a Turning Point in Philippine-PRC Relations......Page 272
Bilateral Diplomacy on the South China Sea Dispute......Page 273
The Philippine’s Changing Strategic Environment......Page 276
Military Modernisation and Enhanced Philippine-US Military Ties......Page 278
Conclusion......Page 280
Notes......Page 283
Introduction......Page 285
Historical Overview......Page 286
Normalisation of Relations......Page 288
Chinese Assertiveness in the South China Sea......Page 292
Conclusion: ‘The China Threat’......Page 301
Notes......Page 304
Introduction......Page 308
The Sino-Indian Boundary Question......Page 309
The India-China-Pakistan Triangle......Page 313
Sino-Indian Relations and the Influence of Major Powers......Page 316
Conclusion: Towards a New Paradigm for Comprehensive Security......Page 320
Notes......Page 321
Introduction......Page 323
The Development of Sino-Pakistan Relations......Page 324
Problems and Perceptions in the Post-Cold War Era......Page 326
Pakistan and the ‘China Threat’......Page 330
Notes......Page 332
Introduction......Page 334
China’s Share in the Middle Eastern Military Balance......Page 336
China’s Role in the Middle Eastern Military Balance......Page 338
The Impact of Conventional Chinese Weapons......Page 339
The Impact of Semi-Conventional Chinese Weapons......Page 341
The Impact of Non-Conventional Chinese Weapons......Page 344
Conclusion......Page 347
Notes......Page 349
Index......Page 354