China's Labour Market, 1950–2050: The Role of Family Planning in Demographic and Income Transitions (Palgrave Studies in Economic History)

Contents
About the Author
List of Figures
List of Tables
1 Introduction
	The Decreasing Proportion of Chinese in World’s Population
	Population Control Policies in the People’s Republic of China
	Fertility Trends After the Stringent One-Child Policy
		The Two-Child Policies and the Impending Labour Shortage in China
		Organizational Framework of the Study
	References
2 A Concentrated Demographic Transition
	Comprehending China’s Post-War Population Policymaking
	The One-Child Policy and Its Bottleneck
	The Reversal of Population Control Policies
	Two-Sided Effects of the One-Child Policy
	Rising Wage Effects of Demographic Shifts
	From Family Planning to Birth Encouraging Policies
	References
3 China’s Dual Transition: Income Growth and Transitioning Demographics
	Dynamics of China’s Income Transition
	Income Transitions in Selected Asian Economies
		Post-war Income Transition in East and Southeast Asia
		Turning Points in East and Southeast Asia’s Income Transitions
		China’s Dual Transition: Lessons from Asian Experiences
	Demographic Challenges to the Dual Transitions
		A Cyclical Adjustment or a Structural Downturn?
		Challenges to Income Transitions
	China’s Ongoing Demographic Transition
		Growth-Induced Population Structural Change
		Growth-Induced Population Displacement
	Regional Differences in Demographics
		Northeast China
		Inland China
	Demographic Implications for the Chinese Economy
	References
4 Connecting the Effectiveness and Ineffectiveness of the Two-Child Policies
	The Narrowing Time Window for Population Policies
		Declining Fertility Rates and the Shrinking Child-Bearing Age Female Population
		Effects of Two-Child Policies Beyond the Mid-2030s
	Structural Changes in Employment
		Rural Migrant Workers
		College Graduates
		Pension System
	Birth Rate Responses to the Two-Child Policies
		Socio-economic Transformations and Their Impact on Birth Rate Responses
		Effect of the Post-2013 Population Policies
	Effectiveness and Ineffectiveness of the Two-Child Policies
		The Rural–Urban Divide in Birth Rate Change
		The Regional Disparity in Birth Rate Changes Since 2013
	Summary
	References
5 Conclusion
	Demographic Trends in China
	Economic Deceleration and the Impending Labour Shortage
	Income Transitions and Insights from Asian Experiences
	The Time Window of Population Policies
	References
Index