14th International Probabilistic Workshop

Front Matter....Pages i-xii
Front Matter....Pages 1-1
Optimizing Adaptable Systems for Future Uncertainty....Pages 3-13
Freak Events, Black Swans, and Unknowable Unknowns: Impact on Risk-Based Design....Pages 15-30
Front Matter....Pages 31-31
Extrapolation, Invariance, Geometry and Subset Sampling....Pages 33-43
Performance of Various Sampling Schemes in Asymptotic Sampling....Pages 45-61
Moving Least Squares Metamodels—Hyperparameter, Variable Reduction and Model Selection....Pages 63-80
Comparing Three Methodologies for System Identification and Prediction....Pages 81-95
Global Sensitivity Analysis of Reinforced Concrete Walls Subjected to Standard Fire—A Comparison of Methods....Pages 97-106
Front Matter....Pages 107-107
Comparison of Computed and Observed Probabilities of Failure and Core Damage Frequencies....Pages 109-122
Probability of a Large Fire in a Road Tunnel Bayesian Inference....Pages 123-134
Statistical Extrapolation for Extreme Traffic Load Effect Estimation on Bridges....Pages 135-153
Front Matter....Pages 155-155
Uncertainty Quantification for Force Identification and Response Estimation in Structural Dynamics....Pages 157-174
Uncertainty Quantification of Creep in Concrete by Taylor Series Expansion....Pages 175-188
Uncertainty Quantification of Extrapolation Techniques for Bonded Anchors....Pages 189-201
Uncertainty Quantification Applied to a Fire-Exposed Glued-Laminated Timber Beam....Pages 203-213
Front Matter....Pages 215-215
Generation of Spatially Embedded Random Networks to Model Complex Transportation Networks....Pages 217-230
Effect of Climate Change on Snow Load on Ground: Bayesian Approach for Snow Map Refinement....Pages 231-244
Imposed Correlation Between Random Field and Discrete Particle Placement....Pages 245-252
A Bayesian Network for the Definition of Probability Models for Masonry Mechanical Parameters....Pages 253-268
A Bayesian Network for the Definition of Probability Models for Compressive Strength of Concrete Homogeneous Population....Pages 269-283
Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard Assessment Through Large Scale Simulations....Pages 285-295
Front Matter....Pages 297-297
Probabilistic Slope Stability Analysis Using Approximative FORM....Pages 299-316
Bayesian Updating of Slope Reliability in Undrained Clay with Vane Shear Test Data....Pages 317-330
Structural Reliability in Design and Analysis of Tensile Structures....Pages 331-344
Probabilistic Assessment of Wind-Loaded Façade Elements....Pages 345-364
Shear Resistance of Prestressed Girders: Probabilistic Design....Pages 365-375
Reliability Assessment of Buried Pipelines for Through-Wall Bending Stress....Pages 377-387
Sensitivity Studies Within a Reliability Analysis of Cross Sections with Carbon Concrete....Pages 389-405
Front Matter....Pages 407-407
Risk Analysis of Bridge Falsework Structures....Pages 409-426
Reliability-Based Methodology for the Optimal Design of Viscous Dampers....Pages 427-439
Optimization of a Landing Gear System Including Uncertainties....Pages 441-457
Front Matter....Pages 459-459
Probabilistic Analysis of Combination Rules in Eurocodes....Pages 461-469
Floor Live Loads of Building Structures....Pages 471-484
Methodology for Evaluating the Safety Level of Current Accepted Design Solutions for Limiting Fire Spread Between Buildings....Pages 485-497
Robustness Assessment—A New Perspective to Achieve a Performance Indicator....Pages 499-507
Probabilistic Concepts of Upcoming European Document on Assessment of Existing Structures....Pages 509-520
Present and Future Probabilistic Challenges for Maintenance of Reinforced Concrete Structures....Pages 521-537
Back Matter....Pages 539-540