US Grand Strategy in the 21st Century: The Case For Restraint (Routledge Global Security Studies)

Endorsement
Half Title
Series Information
Title Page
Copyright Page
Table of Contents
List of Figures
List of Tables
List of Contributors
1 National interests, grand strategy, and the case for restraint
	Alternative grand strategies
	Restraint
	The prospects for restraint
	Road map of the book
	Notes
	References
Part I The myths of liberal hegemony
	2 It’s a trap!: Security commitments and the risks of entrapment
		The debate over engagement
			The logic of entrapment
		When and how does entrapment manifest
			Timing entrapment
			Goal entrapment
			Means entrapment
		Entrapment and strategy
			Structure and entrapment
				Multipolarity
				Bipolarity
				Unipolarity
			The United States, the unipolar era, and the risk of entrapment
				China, Asia, and the risks of entrapment
		Conclusion
		Notes
		References
	3 Primacy and proliferation: Why security commitments don’t prevent the spread of nuclear weapons
		The causes of nuclear proliferation
		Nuclear tipping points
		Against the grain: new work on security motives and tipping points
			A strategic theory of nuclear proliferation
			Tipping points as self-defeating prophecy
		Implications for primacy as a non-proliferation measure
		Conclusions
		References
	4 Restraint and oil security
		Oil market resilience: no need for deep engagement
			Supply, demand, and the price of oil
			Political risk and cartels
			The market response to political-military shocks
			The empirical record of political-military oil supply disruptions
		Does market response rely on US grand strategy?
			Hegemonic stability theory and the oil market
			The US military in the Persian Gulf
		Conclusion
		Notes
		References
	5 Does spreading democracy by force have a place in US grand strategy?: A skeptical view
		The debate about intervention and the spread of democracy
			Critical evaluation
		A theory of foreign-imposed regime change and democratization
			Conditions favorable to democracy
			Intervener strategy
			Summary and hypotheses
		Research design
			Coding democratization
			Defining and coding foreign-imposed regime change
			Control variables
			Accounting for selection effects with matching
		Analysis and results
			FIRC and democratization: a matched analysis
			The conditional effect of institutional FIRC on democratization
		Foreign-imposed regime change under the Obama administration
		Conclusion
		Notes
		References
	6 The tyrannies of distance: Maritime Asia and the barriers to conquest
		The shrinking world
		Access denied
		No-one’s world: negotiating power in an unconquerable Asia
		Conclusion
		Notes
		References
Part II The politics and policy of restraint
	7 Not so dangerous nation: US foreign policy from the founding to the Spanish–American War
		The Founders’ vision
			The four ur-texts of the Washingtonian (or Great Rule) era
		The historical record: did the US practice what the Founders preached?
		Notes
		References
	8 The search for monsters to destroy: Theodore Roosevelt, Republican virtu, and the challenges of liberal democracy in an industrial society
		The liberal pursuit of “the ineffable splendor of freedom and independence”
		Ensuring “the worth of a civilization”: the virtu of the citizen
		“The sinews of virtue”
		The need for “monsters to destroy”
		Staying true to “the traditional policy of the country”
		The trumpet’s summons: virtu and the struggle against the common enemies of man
		“The age of crusades”
		Notes
		References
	9 Better balancing the Middle East
		Growth in America’s Middle East commitments
		Mismatch between strategy and interests
		The failures of US preponderance in the Middle East
		The risks of perpetuating a flawed strategy
		A challenging regional environment
		Downsizing America’s Middle East commitments
		References
	10 Embracing threatlessness: US military spending, Newt Gingrich, and the Costa Rica option
		Pacifism, isolationism, and comparative risk
		Assessing the threats
			Major war
			Potential major war challenges
				The rise of China and the issue of dominance
				Russian assertiveness and the economic doomsday machine
				Assessing attacks on Taiwan and the Baltic states
			Rogue states
			Proliferation
			Terrorism
				Al-Qaeda
				Other groups
				Responding to terrorism
			Policing wars
			Protecting allies
			International crime
			Policing the “global commons”
			Cyber
			Other issues
		Hedging
		Concluding reflections
		Notes
		References
	11 Unrestrained: The politics of America’s primacist foreign policy
		Primacy’s primacy
		Primacy and interest groups
		How US military power generates primacy
			The allies of primacy
			Primacy is a big tent
		Sources of restraint
		Conclusion: prospects for balance
		Notes
		References
	12 Identifying the restraint constituency
		Introduction
		Hawk, dove … restrainer?
			What is restraint?
			Restraint and the literature on foreign policy attitudes
		Identifying the restraint constituency
		Profiling the restraint constituency
			Restraint constituency estimate one: CNN/ORC 2014
			Restraint constituency estimate two: Chicago Council on Global Affairs 2014
		Who are the Restrainers?
			Partisanship and restraint
			The correlates/underpinnings of restraint
		How restrained is the American public?
			The reasonably restrained public
			Challenges to restraint
		Conclusion: today’s restraint coalition, tomorrow’s restraint constituency
		Notes
		References
Index