Topics on System Analysis and Integrated Water Resources Management

Front cover......Page 1
Title page......Page 4
Copyright page......Page 5
Table of contents......Page 6
Preface......Page 8
Part I. Introduction......Page 10
1.1 Introduction......Page 12
1.2 Framing the decision-making problem......Page 13
1.3 The PIP procedure......Page 15
1.4 ICT Tools......Page 28
Bibliography......Page 29
Part II. Modelling......Page 34
2.1 Introduction......Page 36
2.2 The Fundamentals of Data-Based Mechanistic modelling......Page 38
2.3 Case Study: the upper Ticino River basin......Page 41
2.4 Conclusions......Page 55
Bibliography......Page 56
3.1 Introduction......Page 58
3.2 Bayesian Networks......Page 59
3.3 The Havelse case study......Page 61
3.4 The Havelse BN model......Page 64
3.5 Use of the BN......Page 70
3.6 Discussion......Page 74
Bibliography......Page 79
4.1 Introduction......Page 82
4.2 Water conservation......Page 83
4.3 The models......Page 85
4.4 Discussion......Page 100
Bibliography......Page 103
Part III. Managing and MODSS......Page 106
5.1 Integrated water resources management: science in support of public policy......Page 108
5.2 Decision support systems for IWRM......Page 110
5.3 Nile DSS......Page 113
5.4 Conclusion......Page 122
Bibliography......Page 124
6.1 Introduction......Page 126
6.2 Overview of the proposed approaches......Page 128
6.3 ANDYM: approximation of the cost-to-go functions by approximating networks......Page 132
6.4 ERIM: minimization of the total expected cost by approximating networks......Page 134
6.5 Bounds on the generalization error in ANDYM and ERIM......Page 135
6.6 Efficient sampling in high dimension......Page 139
6.7 Numerical results......Page 143
Bibliography......Page 147
7.1 Introduction......Page 150
7.2 MODERATO: a bio-decisional simulation model at the irrigation block scale......Page 151
7.3 Optimising irrigation policies at irrigation block scale......Page 153
7.4 Linking Irrigation Strategies to Production Systems......Page 159
7.5 Regional scale......Page 162
Bibliography......Page 167
8.1 Introduction......Page 170
8.2 Problem definition......Page 172
8.3 Solution technique......Page 174
8.4 Case study......Page 177
Bibliography......Page 180
Part IV. Planning and MODSS......Page 182
9.1 Introduction......Page 184
9.2 Methodology......Page 185
9.3 Red River Basin flood management......Page 191
9.4 Conclusions......Page 194
Bibliography......Page 196
10.1 Introduction......Page 198
10.2 Value of water1......Page 199
10.3 The Water Allocation System......Page 202
10.4 Optimal allocation of water between parties......Page 203
10.6 The Negotiation Support System (NSS)......Page 204
Bibliography......Page 213
11.1 Introduction......Page 216
11.2 Management options implementing the European Water Framework Directive......Page 217
11.3 Demand for workflow support and collaborative decision support......Page 218
11.4 Tools for decision support in the WFD implementation......Page 220
11.5 Interactive multi-criteria decision analysis......Page 222
11.6 Results from the Werra pilot study......Page 227
11.7 Conclusion......Page 229
Bibliography......Page 230
12.1 Introduction......Page 232
12.2 Phase 0 - Reconnaissance......Page 234
12.3 Phase 1 - Defining Actions......Page 236
12.4 Phase 2 - Defining Criteria and Indicators......Page 237
12.5 Phase 3 - Identifying the Model......Page 240
12.7 Phase 5 - Estimating Effects......Page 241
12.9 Phase 7 - Comparison......Page 242
12.11 The set of the reasonable alternatives......Page 246
12.13 Conclusion and remarks......Page 247
Bibliography......Page 249
13.1 Introduction......Page 252
13.2 Research design......Page 253
13.3 Social factors for an integrated and participatory decision-making procedure......Page 256
13.4 Conclusions......Page 262
Bibliography......Page 263
14.1 Introduction......Page 266
14.3 Problem definition......Page 268
14.4 Definition of criteria......Page 269
14.5 Impact assessment......Page 270
14.6 Evaluation of alternatives......Page 272
14.7 Sensitivity and uncertainty analyses......Page 273
14.8 Discussion and conclusions......Page 276
Bibliography......Page 277
Part V. Future Directions......Page 280
15.1 Introduction......Page 282
15.2 Themes and disciplines......Page 283
15.3 Research directions......Page 291
15.4 Where next?......Page 294
15.5 Bibliography......Page 295
Subject Index......Page 300