The world in 2050

Quantifying the shift in the global economy......Page 1
The world in 2050......Page 2
Visual Summary......Page 4
What spurs growth?......Page 6
Economic governance......Page 7
Human capital......Page 11
The starting level of income per capita......Page 12
The model economy......Page 15
Demographic challenges......Page 19
Putting everything together......Page 22
More than two planets......Page 25
Running out of inputs?......Page 26
Feeding the world......Page 27
The Mother of Opportunity......Page 28
Factors the model isn’t picking up......Page 29
Supply-side setbacks......Page 30
References......Page 31
Barro’s growth model......Page 33
Creating the base scenario forecasts......Page 34
Appendix 2: Population demographic changes to 2050.......Page 35
Additional disclosures......Page 43
Disclaimer......Page 44
Global Economics Research Team......Page 45