The Unforeseen Impacts of the 2018 US Midterms

Acknowledgments
Contents
Notes on Contributors
Abbreviations and Acronyms
List of Figures
List of Tables
Chapter 1: More to the Story: The Unforeseen Impacts of the 2018 Midterms
Chapter 2: Stemming the Tide: The Impact of Redistricting on the 2018 Midterm Election
	Why Should We Care About Redistricting?
	Legal Challenges
	Assessing the Impact of Redistricting on Outcomes
	Assessing Partisan Bias in the 2018 Elections
		State Legislatures: Lower Houses
	Upper House
	Congress
	2020 and Beyond
	Conclusion
	Appendix
		Methodology for Creating Simulated Districts
	References
Chapter 3: Checking Out: 2018 Congressional Retirements and Resignations in Historical Perspective
	An Overview of the 2018 Election Cycle
	Historical and Literature Review
	A More Detailed Look at 2018
	Discussion and Conclusions
	References
Chapter 4: Women, Novices, and Veterans: Diversity in the 2018 Democratic House Primaries
	Candidate Diversity and Emergence in 2018
	Data and Methods
	Emergence in Primary Elections
	Performance in Primary Elections
	Performance in General Elections
	Conclusions
	References
Chapter 5: Rethinking the Strategic Woman Candidate
	Gendered Political Issue Saliency in 2018
	Gendered Political Message Typology
	Predicted Campaign Messages in 2018
	Gender Stereotypes and Campaign Messages in the 2018 Midterm Elections
	Gender Differences in Congressional Campaign Advertising in 2018
	Gender Differences Between Partisans in 2018
	Gender Differences by Incumbency Status in 2018
	Discussion and Conclusions
	References
Chapter 6: Tariffs, Race, and Voting: A District-Level Analysis of the Trump Effect on the Republican Vote Share
	Theoretical Framing: Blumer’s Group-Position Perspective
	Data and Methods
	Dependent Measure
	District-Level Independent Measures
	State-Level Independent Measures
	Results
	Conclusions
	References
Index