The political economy of Poland's transition: new firms and reform governments

Half-title......Page 2
Series-title......Page 4
Dedication......Page 5
Title......Page 6
Copyright......Page 7
Contents......Page 8
Tables......Page 10
Figures......Page 13
Acknowledgments......Page 14
Abbreviations......Page 16
poland’s experience in a comparative context......Page 18
political and economic reform......Page 25
Creative Destruction in Poland and East-Central Europe......Page 27
The Political Economy of Transitions......Page 34
initial conditions and policies......Page 37
economic reform in the 1980s......Page 38
solidarnosc......Page 39
poland’s transition: shock therapy without privatization......Page 41
the balcerowicz plan......Page 42
the plan for poland......Page 44
the dynamic changes in the polish economy......Page 45
Job Creation and Loss among Polish Firms......Page 46
Changes in Sales......Page 48
Regional Variations......Page 51
the speed of transition......Page 54
the politics of the polish transition......Page 56
summary......Page 61
Appendix 2A: Firm Dynamics and Creation......Page 63
modeling new-firm creation, survival, and growth......Page 68
measuring creative destruction in the polish economy......Page 72
Birth of New Enterprises......Page 74
Survival of New Enterprises......Page 76
Growth in Firm Size......Page 78
Payroll per Worker......Page 81
Sales per Worker......Page 84
regional analysis and statistical models......Page 86
Birthrates......Page 90
Survival......Page 93
Size of Firm......Page 96
Wage Growth and Productivity......Page 97
conclusion......Page 102
Appendix 3A: Models for Birth, Survival, and Growth Rates and Wage Rates......Page 105
4 The Social and Distributional Costs of Transition......Page 115
Unemployment......Page 116
Family Income......Page 119
agriculture......Page 125
National Comparisons......Page 128
Individual Differences......Page 129
Regional Health Measures......Page 132
conclusion......Page 137
5 Individual Attitudes and Voting......Page 139
confidence in private enterprise......Page 140
attitudes toward communism......Page 146
individual vote choice in polish elections, 1991–1997......Page 149
Economic Voting......Page 156
Opinions about Communism......Page 160
Other Variables......Page 161
the evolution of a liberal economic constituency......Page 162
Appendix 5A: Coding of Private Confidence and Communism Measures......Page 164
Appendix 5B: Statistical Model of Individual Vote Choices......Page 168
Appendix 5C: Candidate Policies and Individual Voting......Page 172
a model of aggregate election returns......Page 174
statistical results......Page 178
De Novo Job Creation, Economic Conditions, and Votes......Page 179
Vote Results in Their Broader Context......Page 184
job creation and seat allocations......Page 186
Appendix 6A: Estimated Election and Vote Share Models......Page 189
seat allocation rules......Page 195
Electoral Rules and Party Coalitions......Page 200
Job Creation, Electoral Rules, and the Votes-to-Seats Relationships......Page 205
conclusion......Page 210
Appendix 7A: Analysis of Votes-to-Seats Rules......Page 211
the economy......Page 219
statistical analysis of unemployment changes......Page 225
Relating Creative Destruction and Unemployment Changes......Page 226
Statistical Results......Page 228
political transitions......Page 230
analysis of individual voting in the 2001 election......Page 233
analysis of party shifts......Page 237
votes and seat allocations......Page 243
summary......Page 245
lessons from the political economy of transition......Page 247
The Economics of Transition......Page 248
The Electoral Politics of Transition......Page 249
Economic Policies......Page 251
Institutional Factors......Page 256
Necessary Attitudes and Norms......Page 262
the necessity versus the sufficiency of these factors......Page 263
the next challenge......Page 264
the necessity of simultaneous economic and political reform......Page 266
Appendix A Assessing Measures of New and Small Firms in Poland......Page 270
References......Page 282
Index......Page 290