The Empire of change: how probability changed science and everyday life

Cover
Title
Copyright
Contents
Acknowledgments
Introduction
1 Classical probabilities, 1660–1840
	1.1 Introduction
	1.2 The beginnings
	1.3 The classical interpretation
	1.4 Determinism
	1.5 Reasonableness
	1.6 Risk in gambling and insurance
	1.7 Evidence and causes
	1.8 The moral sciences
	1.9 Conclusion
2 Statistical probabilities, 1820–1900
	2.1 Introduction
	2.2 Statistical regularity and l'homme moyen
	2.3 Opposition to statistics
	2.4 Statistics and variation
	2.5 The error law and correlation
	2.6 The statistical critique of determinism
	2.7 Conclusion
3 The inference experts
	3.1 In want of a "system of mean results"
	3.2 Analysis of variance
	3.3 Fisher's antecedents: early significance tests and comparative experimentation
	3.4 The controversy: Fisher vs. Neyman and Pearson
	3.5 Hybridization: the silent solution
	3.6 The statistical profession: intellectual autonomy
	3.7 The statistical profession: institutions and influence
	3.8 Conclusion
4 Chance and life: controversies in modem biology
	4.1 Introduction
	4.2 Spontaneity and control: chance in physiology
	4.3 Coincidence and design: chance in natural history
	4.4 Correlations and causes: chance in genetics
	4.5 Sampling and selection: chance in evolutionary biology
5 The probabilistic revolution in physics
	5.1 The background: classical physics
	5.2 Probability in classical physics: the epistemic interpretation
	5.3 Three limitations of classical physics: sources of probabilism
	5.4 Comments on the three limitations
	5.5 Mass phenomena and propensities
	5.6 Explanations from probabilistic assumptions
	5.7 The puzzle of irreversibility in time
	5.8 The discontinuity underlying all change
6 Statistics of the mind
	6.1 Introduction
	6.2 The pre-statistical period
	6.3 The new tools
	6.4 From tools to theories of mind
	6.5 A case study: from thinking to judgments under uncertainty
	6.6 The return of the reasonable man
	6.7 Conclusion
7 Numbers rule the world
	7.1 Introduction
	7.2 New objects
	7.3 New values
	7.4 New rules
	7.5 Conclusion
8 The implications of chance
	8.1 Probabilistic imperialism
	8.2 What does probability mean?
	8.3 Determinism
	8.4 Mechanized inference
	8.5 Statistical Lebensgefühl
References
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