Stock Trader's Almanac 2016

STOCK TRADER’S ALMANAC 2O16......Page 3
INTRODUCTION TO THE forty-NINTH EDITION......Page 6
THE 2016 STOCK TRADER’S ALMANAC......Page 9
2016 STRATEGY CALENDAR......Page 12
January Almanac......Page 14
 January’s First Five Days: An Early Warning System......Page 16
 The Incredible January Barometer (Devised 1972): Only Eight Significant Errors in 65 Years......Page 18
 January Barometer in Graphic Form Since 1950......Page 20
 2016 Presidential Election Year Perspectives......Page 22
February Almanac......Page 24
 Market Charts of Presidential Election Years......Page 26
 How the Government Manipulates the Economy to Stay in Power......Page 28
 Incumbent Party Wins & Losses......Page 30
March Almanac......Page 32
 Only Two Losses Last 7 Months of Election Years......Page 34
 Leverage the Probabilities Fund (PROTX) Strategic and Tactical Trading System......Page 38
April Almanac......Page 42
 Eighth Year of Presidential Terms......Page 44
 The Sixth Year of Decades......Page 46
 The December Low Indicator: A Useful Prognosticating Tool......Page 48
May Almanac......Page 50
 Down Januarys: A Remarkable Record......Page 52
 Top Performing Months Past 65¼3 Years: Standard & Poor’s 500 and Dow Jones Industrials......Page 54
 “Best Six Months”: Still an Eye-Popping Strategy......Page 56
 MACD-Timing Triples “Best Six Months” Results......Page 58
June Almanac......Page 60
 Top Performing NASDAQ Months Past 43¼3 Years......Page 62
 Get More out of NASDAQ’s “Best Eight Months” with MACD Timing......Page 64
 Triple Returns, Less Trades: Best 6 + 4-Year Cycle......Page 66
July Almanac......Page 68
 First Month of Quarters Is the Most Bullish......Page 72
 2014 Daily Dow Point Changes......Page 74
 Don’t Sell Stocks on Monday or Friday......Page 76
 A Rally for All Seasons......Page 78
August Almanac......Page 80
 Best Investment Book of the Year: Fast Forward: The Technologies and Companies Shaping Our Future THE 2016 STOCK TRADER’S ALMANAC......Page 82
 Aura of the Triple Witch—4th Quarter Most Bullish: Down Weeks Trigger More Weakness Week After......Page 84
 Take Advantage of Down Friday/Down Monday Warning......Page 86
September Almanac......Page 88
 A Correction for All Seasons......Page 90
 First-Trading-Day-of-the-Month Phenomenon: Dow Gains More One Day than All Other Days......Page 92
 Market Behavior Three Days before and Three Days after Holidays......Page 94
October Almanac......Page 96
 Market Gains More on Super-8 Days Each Month than on All 13 Remaining Days Combined......Page 98
 Sector Seasonality: Selected Percentage Plays......Page 100
 Sector Index Seasonality Strategy Calendar......Page 102
November Almanac......Page 106
 Fourth Quarter Market Magic......Page 108
 Trading the Thanksgiving Market......Page 110
 Most of the So-Called “January Effect” Takes Place in Last Half of December......Page 112
December Almanac......Page 114
 January Effect Now Starts in Mid-December......Page 116
 Wall Street’s Only “Free Lunch” Served before Christmas......Page 118
 If Santa Claus Should Fail to Call, Bears May Come to Broad and Wall......Page 120
 Year’s Top Investment Books......Page 122
2017 STRATEGY CALENDAR......Page 124
DIRECTORY OF TRADING PATTERNS AND DATA BANK......Page 126
 Dow Jones Industrials Market Probability Calendar 2016......Page 127
 Recent Dow Jones Industrials Market Probability Calendar 2016......Page 128
 S&P 500 Market Probability Calendar 2016......Page 129
 Recent S&P 500 Market Probability Calendar 2016......Page 130
 NASDAQ Composite Market Probability Calendar 2016......Page 131
 Recent NASDAQ Composite Market Probability Calendar 2016......Page 132
 Russell 1000 Index Market Probability Calendar 2016......Page 133
 Russell 2000 Index Market Probability Calendar 2016......Page 134
 Decennial Cycle: A Market Phenomenon......Page 135
 Presidential Election/Stock Market Cycle: The 182-Year Saga Continues......Page 136
 Dow Jones Industrials Bull and Bear Markets Since 1900......Page 137
 Standard & Poor’s 500 Bull and Bear Markets Since 1929 NASDAQ Composite Since 1971......Page 138
 Dow Jones Industrials 10-Year Daily Point Changes: January and February......Page 139
 Dow Jones Industrials 10-Year Daily Point Changes: March and April......Page 140
 Dow Jones Industrials 10-Year Daily Point Changes: May and June......Page 141
 Dow Jones Industrials 10-Year Daily Point Changes: July and August......Page 142
 Dow Jones Industrials 10-Year Daily Point Changes: September and October......Page 143
 Dow Jones Industrials 10-Year Daily Point Changes: November and December......Page 144
 A Typical Day in the Market......Page 145
 Through the Week on a Half-Hourly Basis......Page 146
 Tuesday Most Profitable Day of Week......Page 147
 NASDAQ Strongest Last 3 Days of Week......Page 148
 S&P Daily Performance Each Year Since 1952......Page 149
 NASDAQ Daily Performance Each Year Since 1971......Page 150
 Monthly Cash Inflows into S&P Stocks......Page 151
 Monthly Cash Inflows into NASDAQ Stocks......Page 152
 November, December, and January: Year’s Best Three-Month Span......Page 153
 November Through June: NASDAQ’s Eight-Month Run......Page 154
 Dow Jones Industrials Annual Highs, Lows, and Closes Since 1901......Page 155
 S&P 500 Annual Highs, Lows, and Closes Since 1930......Page 156
 NASDAQ, Russell 1000 and 2000 Annual Highs, Lows, and Closes Since 1971......Page 157
 Dow Jones Industrials Monthly Percent Changes Since 1950......Page 158
 Dow Jones Industrials Monthly Point Changes Since 1950......Page 159
 Standard & Poor’s 500 Monthly Closing Prices Since 1950......Page 160
 NASDAQ Composite Monthly Percent Changes Since 1971......Page 163
 NASDAQ Composite Monthly Closing Prices Since 1971......Page 164
 Russell 1000 Monthly Percent Changes and Closing Prices Since 1979......Page 165
 Russell 2000 Monthly Percent Changes and Closing Prices Since 1979......Page 166
 10 Best Days by Percent and Point......Page 169
 10 Worst Days by Percent and Point......Page 170
 10 Best Weeks by Percent and Point......Page 171
 10 Worst Weeks by Percent and Point......Page 172
 10 Best Months by Percent and Point......Page 173
 10 Worst Months by Percent and Point......Page 174
 10 Best Quarters by Percent and Point......Page 175
 10 Worst Quarters by Percent and Point......Page 176
 10 Best Years by Percent and Point......Page 177
 10 Worst Years by Percent and Point......Page 178
 Dow Jones Industrials One-Year Seasonal Pattern Charts Since 1901......Page 179
 S&P 500 One-Year Seasonal Pattern Charts Since 1930......Page 180
 NASDAQ, Russell 1000 & 2000 One-Year Seasonal Pattern Charts Since 1971 STRATEGY PLANNING AND RECORD SECTION......Page 181
STRATEGY PLANNING AND RECORD SECTION......Page 182
 Portfolio at Start of 2016......Page 183
 Additional Purchases......Page 184
 Short-Term Transactions......Page 186
 Long-Term Transactions......Page 188
 Interest/Dividends Received during 2016/Brokerage Account Data 2016......Page 190
 Weekly Portfolio Price Record 2016......Page 191
 Weekly Indicator Data 2016......Page 193
 Monthly Indicator Data 2016......Page 195
 Portfolio at End of 2016......Page 196
 If You Don’t Profit from Your Investment Mistakes, Someone Else Will; Performance Record of Recommendations......Page 197
 Individual Retirement Account (IRA): Most Awesome Mass Investment Incentive Ever Devised......Page 198
 G.M. Loeb’s “Battle Plan” for Investment Survival......Page 199
 G.M. Loeb’s Investment Survival Checklist......Page 200