Rising China: Power and Reassurance

Acknowledgements......Page 7
Fan Gaoyue......Page 9
Yu Bin......Page 10
Hugh White......Page 11
Zhao Gancheng......Page 12
Introduction......Page 13
Reference......Page 17
China's key bilateral relationships: partners or just peers?......Page 19
The outlook for US–China relations......Page 21
References......Page 31
From limited contact to comprehensive relations......Page 33
From restricted cooperation to extensive cooperation......Page 35
From asymmetrical to more balanced interactions......Page 36
Growing stakes......Page 37
China’s rise......Page 38
Convergence of values......Page 39
Zero-sum perceptions of interest......Page 40
Structural uncertainties brought about by the rise of China......Page 41
References......Page 42
I......Page 45
II......Page 46
III......Page 49
IV......Page 51
Reference......Page 54
Japanese perspectives on the rise of China......Page 57
Introduction......Page 63
Will India and China rise relatively equally?......Page 64
The effect on Sino–Indian relations......Page 69
Balancing China and India–US relations......Page 71
Conclusion......Page 73
References......Page 74
I......Page 77
II......Page 79
III......Page 80
IV......Page 81
V......Page 83
VI......Page 84
VII......Page 86
Reference......Page 88
Introduction: guns and games of August......Page 91
How strategic are Sino–Russian relations?......Page 93
The ordinariness and extraordinariness of Medvedev’s visit......Page 95
Medvedev’s ‘Westpolitik’ through Beijing......Page 97
China’s ‘old friend’ and new challenges......Page 98
South Ossetia and its fallout......Page 100
Russia’s story......Page 103
China’s ‘independent’ foreign policy: beyond the Georgian–Russian conflict......Page 105
The ‘West’s civil war’ again? Stupid!......Page 108
References......Page 109
Alliances, military balances and strategic policy......Page 113
Introduction......Page 115
New thinking in China’s national security strategy......Page 116
A period of important strategic opportunity......Page 117
New concepts of security featuring mutual trust, mutual benefit, equality and coordination......Page 118
China’s peaceful rise......Page 119
How will China work in the UN Security Council in the future?......Page 120
China’s current policy towards East Asia......Page 122
China can cooperate with other countries through regional institutions......Page 125
China’s strategic culture and its impacts on China’s security thinking......Page 127
China’s traditional national strategic culture......Page 128
China’s foreign strategic culture......Page 129
Reference......Page 130
The main challenges facing China’s national defence......Page 131
Challenge two......Page 132
Challenge five......Page 133
Response one......Page 134
Response four......Page 135
Defence-industrial development in China......Page 137
Defence industrialisation and autonomy......Page 138
The Chinese military-industrial complex in the late 1990s......Page 141
Reforming China’s defence industry, 1997 to the present......Page 144
A disappointing track record......Page 148
Chinese arms production: success in spite of failed reforms?......Page 150
References......Page 153
Multilateral processes: countering or reflecting regional cleavages?......Page 157
Introduction......Page 159
China assesses the prospect of East Asian multilateralism......Page 160
China’s super-activism in economic multilateralism......Page 165
China’s enthusiasm for NTS multilateralism......Page 167
China’s different approaches to preventive measures on security......Page 168
Conclusion......Page 172
References......Page 173
The perils and prospects of dragon riding: reassurance and ‘costly signals’ in China–ASEAN relations......Page 177
ASEAN’s engagement of China: from the cold to the fold?......Page 179
Strange bedfellows, 1980s......Page 182
Decade of ‘mundane accomplishments’: 1990s......Page 183
Intensification of relations: 2000–08......Page 186
Future ties: trouble ahead?......Page 188
References......Page 189
The Asia-Pacific Community: a case study......Page 197
The problem with architecture......Page 201
Structure or strategic relationships?......Page 204
Conclusion......Page 207
References......Page 208