Reshaping National Intelligence for an Age of Information (RAND Studies in Policy Analysis)

Cover......Page 1
Half-title......Page 3
Series-title......Page 5
Title......Page 7
Copyright......Page 8
Contents......Page 9
Foreword......Page 13
Preface......Page 15
Note on sources......Page 19
1 The imperative of reshaping......Page 21
FAILING IN INDIA......Page 23
THE LEGACY OF HOT WAR AND COLD......Page 25
OPEN SOURCES VS. SECRETS......Page 28
PUZZLES VS. MYSTERIES......Page 31
AIDING WAR-FIGHTERS......Page 33
THE INTELLIGENCE OF POLICY......Page 35
A GUIDE FOR READERS......Page 38
REDEFINING AMERICA’S INTERESTS IN THE WORLD......Page 40
Global military power......Page 45
Political and economic power......Page 47
Economic globalization......Page 48
Communications revolution......Page 49
Rising belief in the nonmaterial......Page 51
Changing demographics......Page 52
Environmental concerns......Page 53
Rogue states......Page 55
Terrorism......Page 58
Organized crime......Page 61
“THREATS WITHOUT THREATENERS”......Page 63
THE COMING OF THE MARKET STATE......Page 66
CHANGING PUBLIC AND PRIVATE ROLES......Page 71
THE INTELLIGENCE OF THE MARKET STATE......Page 74
WHAT KIND OF AMERICA?......Page 76
3 The militarization of intelligence......Page 82
WHAT MISSION FOR INTELLIGENCE?......Page 83
RETARGETING THE COLD WAR LEGACY......Page 85
PLUS ÇA CHANGE, OR FORWARD TO THE PAST......Page 90
COLD WAR RECONNAISSANCE: WHO CONTROLS?......Page 94
NATIONAL AND TACTICAL: NEW MISSIONS FOR OLD SYSTEMS......Page 99
NIMA: CREATING AN IMAGERY STOVEPIPE......Page 101
WHICH SYSTEMS, AT WHAT COST?......Page 104
OWNED BY WHOM?......Page 109
SERVING INTELLIGENCE’S NATIONAL PURPOSES......Page 111
4 Designated readers: the open source revolution......Page 113
AMERICA’S COLD WAR INTELLIGENCE......Page 118
INTELLIGENCE FOR AN AGE OF INFORMATION......Page 122
DISTRIBUTED INTELLIGENCE?......Page 124
OPEN SOURCES AND SECRETS......Page 128
LEARNING TO READ: USING OPEN SOURCES......Page 133
PROCESSING INFORMATION, NOT SECRETS......Page 139
ORGANIZING FOR TACTICAL SUPPORT......Page 140
THE TACTICAL FRANCHISE......Page 143
AND THE STRATEGIC FRANCHISE......Page 145
ADDRESSING MYSTERIES: NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE ESTIMATES......Page 147
DOING WELL AT ADDRESSING MYSTERIES......Page 149
BRINGING OUTSIDERS INSIDE......Page 152
ESTIMATING AS PROCESS......Page 154
5 Spying, looking, and catching criminals......Page 156
THE RANGE OF CLANDESTINE OPERATIONS......Page 157
SHAPING AMERICA’S CLANDESTINE SERVICE......Page 158
FRAMING AN ASSESSMENT......Page 161
THE CULTURE OF SPYING......Page 165
TO SPY OR NOT......Page 170
RESHAPING THE CLANDESTINE SERVICE…IN SERVICE OF NSA?......Page 172
SPYING FOR MONEY......Page 177
HIRING LOOKERS......Page 181
LAW ENFORCEMENT......Page 187
THE BUREAU AND THE AGENCY......Page 190
THE QUESTION OF COVERT ACTION......Page 193
6 The intelligence of policy......Page 197
ANALYSTS AND POLICY-MAKERS......Page 199
THE MESSENGER AND THE MESSAGE......Page 205
QUESTIONS NOT ASKED AND NOT ANSWERED......Page 211
QUESTIONS ASKED......Page 215
THE BRIGHT LINE......Page 217
COMMANDERS AND ASSESSMENTS......Page 222
CHANGING THE CULTURE......Page 225
CHALLENGING MIND-SETS......Page 228
ERASING THE LINE?......Page 231
INTELLIGENCE FOR WHOSE POLICY?......Page 233
7 A reshaped intelligence......Page 236
RETARGETING THE COLD WAR LEGACY......Page 240
A NEW PARADIGM......Page 245
THE RISE OF THE MARKET STATE......Page 249
THE ROLE OF THE DCI......Page 254
THE COLLECTION “MARKET”......Page 260
THE SPLIT FRANCHISE OF ANALYSIS......Page 263
COLLECTING WHAT IS FREE......Page 266
POINTS OF LEVERAGE: A PRACTICAL AGENDA......Page 268
MAKING THE CASE PUBLICLY......Page 273
Index......Page 277