Regional Assessment of Global Change Impacts: The Project GLOWA-Danube

Front Matter....Pages i-xxi
Front Matter....Pages 1-1
GLOWA-Danube....Pages 3-18
DANUBIA: A Web-Based Modelling and Decision Support System to Investigate Global Change and the Hydrological Cycle in the Upper Danube Basin....Pages 19-27
DeepActor Models in DANUBIA....Pages 29-36
Validation of the Hydrological Modelling in DANUBIA....Pages 37-47
The Stakeholder Dialogue in the Third Project Phase of GLOWA-Danube....Pages 49-53
GLOWA-Danube Results and Key Messages....Pages 55-65
Front Matter....Pages 67-67
Digital Terrain Model....Pages 69-74
Soil Textures....Pages 75-82
Land Use and Land Cover....Pages 83-89
Climate Stations....Pages 91-97
Spatial and Temporal Interpolation of the Meteorological Data: Precipitation, Temperature and Radiation....Pages 99-107
Ice Reservoir....Pages 109-115
Trends in Temperature and Precipitation....Pages 117-123
Hydrogeology – A Consistent Basin-Wide Representation of the Major Aquifers in the Upper Danube Basin....Pages 125-131
Mean Daily Discharge and Discharge Variability....Pages 133-137
Population....Pages 139-145
Gross Domestic Product....Pages 147-152
Water Demand in Tourism Facilities....Pages 153-158
Agriculture....Pages 159-164
Extraction of Water for Public Drinking Water Supply....Pages 165-170
Front Matter....Pages 67-67
Topsoil Organic Carbon Content....Pages 171-176
Data on Quantity and Quality of Groundwater....Pages 177-184
Hydropower Plants....Pages 185-191
Front Matter....Pages 193-193
Groundwater Recharge....Pages 195-200
Run-Off Formation....Pages 201-206
Groundwater Contour Maps for the Alluvial Aquifers of the Upper Danube Basin....Pages 207-213
Total Extraction and Total Water Supply per Community....Pages 215-220
Modelling the Effects of Global Change on Drinking Water Supply: The DeepWaterSupply Decision Model....Pages 221-227
Surface Water: Discharge Rate and Water Quality....Pages 229-235
Mean Snow Cover Duration....Pages 237-242
Future Changes in the Ice Reservoir....Pages 243-249
Precipitation and Temperature....Pages 251-260
Two-Way Coupling the PROMET and MM5 Models....Pages 261-270
Mean Number of Storm Days....Pages 271-277
Energy: Simulation of Hydropower Generation and Reservoir Management....Pages 279-286
CO2 Fluxes and Transpiration....Pages 287-293
Plant Growth and Biomass Production....Pages 295-301
Nitrate Leaching....Pages 303-310
Agricultural Land Use and Drinking Water Demand....Pages 311-316
Actor Model for Farmers’ Crop Management Decisions: The DeepFarming Model....Pages 317-322
Front Matter....Pages 193-193
Water Demand by Private Households and the Public Sector....Pages 323-330
Modelled Domestic Water Demand 2: The DeepHousehold Decision Model....Pages 331-337
Modelling Risk Perception and Indicators of Psychosocial Sustainability in Private Households: The Risk Perception Module in DeepHousehold....Pages 339-346
Environmental Economy: Industrial Water Abstraction....Pages 347-353
Tourism Research: Water Demand by the Tourism Sector....Pages 355-360
Front Matter....Pages 361-367
GLOWA-Danube Scenarios....Pages 369-369
The GLOWA-Danube Climate Trends....Pages 371-375
The Statistical Climate Generator....Pages 377-395
The GLOWA-Danube Climate Variants from the Statistical Climate Generator....Pages 397-418
Climate Variants of the MM5 and REMO Regional Climate Models....Pages 419-433
Societal Scenarios in GLOWA-Danube....Pages 435-453
Front Matter....Pages 455-460
Impact of Climate Change on Water Availability....Pages 461-461
Scenarios for the Development of Low Flow in the Upper Danube Basin....Pages 463-469
Scenarios for the Development of Floods in the Upper Danube Basin....Pages 471-480
Influence of the Glaciers on Runoff Regime and Its Change....Pages 481-491
Mean Snow Cover Duration from November to June Under the REMO Regional Climate Trend and the Baseline Climate Variant....Pages 493-509
Trends in Evapotranspiration of Heterogeneous Landscapes Under Scenario Conditions....Pages 511-516
Groundwater Recharge Under Scenario Conditions....Pages 517-523
The Influence of Snow Cover on Runoff Regime and Its Change....Pages 525-532
Front Matter....Pages 533-539
Analysis of Discharge Patterns on the Danube between Kelheim and Achleiten with a Particular Focus on Navigation....Pages 461-461
Effects of Different Scenarios on the Operating Dates of Ski Areas....Pages 541-546
Effects of Different Scenarios on Water Consumption by Golf Courses....Pages 547-552
Changes to the Quantitative Status of Groundwater and the Water Supply....Pages 553-559
Scenarios with Economic Perspectives Under the Impact of Climate and Social Changes....Pages 561-567
Effects of Climate Change on Hydropower Generation and Reservoir Management....Pages 569-576
Estimating the Change in Groundwater Quality Resulting from Changes to Land Use and Groundwater Recharge....Pages 577-583
Effects of Future Climate Changes on Yields, Land Use and Agricultural Incomes....Pages 585-592
Soil Temperature under Scenario Conditions....Pages 593-599
Effects of Climate Change on Nitrate Leaching....Pages 601-607
Effects of Agro-Economic Decisions on Nitrate Leaching....Pages 609-614
Climate-Related Forest Fire Risk....Pages 615-621
Forest Fire Risk Under Various Climate Trends....Pages 623-629
Effects of Future Climate Trends on Crop Management....Pages 631-637
Back Matter....Pages 639-650
....Pages 651-656