Proceedings of 2013 World Agricultural Outlook Conference

Front Matter....Pages i-ix
Construction of China Agriculture Monitoring and Early-Warning System (CAMES)....Pages 1-13
Design and Implementation of Agricultural Product Prices Short-Term Forecasting System....Pages 15-27
Forecasting and Early-Warning Research on the Price of China’s Corn and Late Indica Rice....Pages 29-43
Decomposition Study of the Agricultural Products Price....Pages 45-54
Research on the Optimal Combination Forecasting Model for Vegetable Price in Hainan....Pages 55-67
Research and Design of Vegetable Price Spatial-Temporal Transmission Simulation....Pages 69-76
Food Consumption of Households in Poverty-Stricken Areas of West China: The Case of Shaanxi, Yunnan, and Guizhou....Pages 77-87
China’s Aquatic Products Supply and Demand Situation over the Past Decade....Pages 89-99
Spatial-Temporal Characteristics and Outlook of Grain Consumption in China....Pages 101-113
Research on Early-Warning Proposal of China Milk Market....Pages 115-123
Meteorological Effects on China Expected Rapeseed Yield....Pages 125-132
County-Level Catastrophic Risk Assessment of Crops Caused by Flood in Northeast China....Pages 133-148
Study on Fluctuation Rules of Meteorological Phenomena Stress Environment in Cow Dominant Areas of China....Pages 149-159
Study on Extreme Risk Measurement of Chinese Soybean Futures Market—VaR Based on GARCH Model....Pages 161-171
Prediction of Pork Prices Based on SVM....Pages 173-178
Study on Optimal Risk Sharing Issue for Chinese Crop Insurance: A Case Study from Government Perspective....Pages 179-191
Evaluating Catastrophe Risk of Cold Damage for Crop Production at the Provincial Scale in China....Pages 193-203
Rice Yield of Rural Household of Niger State of Nigeria....Pages 205-213
Empirical Analysis on the Economies of Scale of Natural Rubber Production: Based on the Panel Data of 86 Rubber Farms of HSF Between 1998 and 2007....Pages 215-225
Research on Economic Effect of Grain Consumption Expenditure in Urban and Rural China....Pages 227-238
The Outputs and International Competitiveness of Livestock Products in the BRICS: A Comparative Analysis....Pages 239-249
Study on the Evaluation Indexes for Asparagus Industrial Global Competitiveness....Pages 251-260
Industrial Agglomeration in China’s Agricultural Product Processing Industry....Pages 261-270
Influence and Evaluation on Human Settlement Environment After Rural Homestead Consolidation in China: Evidence from the Typical Villages in Jiangsu Province....Pages 271-278
SWOT Analysis on Industrial Development of Beijing Edible Fungi....Pages 279-293
Analysis on the Technology Application of Traceability Management for Agro-product Quality and Safety in China....Pages 295-306
Text Segmentation Model Based LDA and Ontology for Question Answering in Agriculture....Pages 307-319
Research on Search Technology of Agricultural Information Based on Geographical Perception....Pages 321-329
Temporal Changes and the Influencing Factor of China Importing Genetic Resources of Livestock and Poultry....Pages 331-339