Probabilistic risk analysis : foundations and methods

Frontmatter......Page 1
Contents......Page 5
Illustrations......Page 13
Tables......Page 16
Preface......Page 19
Part I - Introduction......Page 21
1 - Probabilistic risk analysis......Page 23
Part II - Theoretical issues and background......Page 35
2 - What is uncertainty?......Page 37
3 - Probabilistic methods......Page 59
4 - Statistical inference......Page 81
5 - Weibull Analysis......Page 103
Part III - System analysis and quantification......Page 117
6 - Fault and event trees......Page 119
7 - Fault trees â•fi analysis......Page 141
8 - Dependent failures......Page 160
9 - Reliability data bases......Page 173
10 - Expert opinion......Page 211
11 - Human reliability......Page 238
12 - Software reliability......Page 260
Part IV - Uncertainty modeling and risk measurement......Page 277
13 - Decision theory......Page 279
14 - Influence diagrams and belief nets......Page 306
15 - Project risk management......Page 319
16 - Probabilistic inversion techniques for uncertainty analysis......Page 336
17 - Uncertainty analysis......Page 346
18 - Risk measurement and regulation......Page 370
Bibliography......Page 393
Index......Page 410