Prediction Technologies for Improving Engineering Product Efficiency

Preface
Introduction
	Why Does the Book Has This Title?
	References
Contents
About the Author
Chapter 1: How Was Began Development of New Direction “Successful Prediction of Engineering Product Efficiency”
	References
Chapter 2: Analysis of Current Situation with Prediction of New Product Reliability and Efficiency
	2.1 Current Methodological Aspects of New Product Reliability and Efficiency Prediction
		2.1.1 General Model
		2.1.2 Classical Test Theory
		2.1.3 Estimation
		2.1.4 Reliability Prediction for Mean Time Between Failures
		2.1.5 Reliability Software Overview
			2.1.5.1 MIL-HDBK-217 Predictive Method
			2.1.5.2 Bellcore/Telcordia Predictive Method
			2.1.5.3 Discussion of Empirical Methods
		2.1.6 Physics of Failure Methods
			2.1.6.1 Arrhenius’s Law
			2.1.6.2 Black Model for Electromigration
			2.1.6.3 Discussion of Physics of Failure Methods
		2.1.7 Life Testing Method
	2.2 Why the Level of New Product Current Prediction Is Low
	2.3 Example of Low-Level Efficiency Prediction
	References
Chapter 3: Technology of Successful Prediction of New Product Efficiency (Quality, Reliability, Durability, Maintainability, Safety, Life Cycle Cost, Profit, and Other Components)
	3.1 The Basis of Successful Prediction of Product Efficiency
	3.2 The Strategy of Successful Efficiency Prediction
	3.3 Methodological Aspects (The First Key Factor) of Successful Efficiency Prediction
		3.3.1 Criteria of Successful Prediction of Efficiency by Results of Accelerated Reliability/Durability Testing
		3.3.2 Development of Techniques for Product Efficiency Prediction on the Basis of Accelerated Reliability/Durability Testing Results
		3.3.3 Basic Concepts of Efficiency Prediction
		3.3.4 Other Methodological Aspects of Successful Prediction
	3.4 Improving Engineering Culture for Efficiency Successful Prediction
	3.5 Organizational Culture as a Component of Improving Engineering Culture
	References
Chapter 4: Accelerated Reliability and Durability Testing Technology as Second Key Factor for Successful Prediction of Product Efficiency
	4.1 Introduction
	4.2 Current Status of Accelerated Testing
		4.2.1 Basic General Directions of Accelerated Testing Development
			4.2.1.1 The First General Direction (Field Accelerated Testing)
			4.2.1.2 The Second General Direction (Accelerated Testing Based on Computer/Software Simulation)
			4.2.1.3 The Third General Direction (Laboratory, or Proving Ground, or Crash Testing with Physical Simulation of Field Conditions)
			4.2.1.4 The Fourth General Direction of Accelerated Testing
			4.2.1.5 The Fifth General Direction (Accelerated Reliability/Durability Testing)
		4.2.2 Other Testing Approaches
	4.3 The Basic Methodology of Accelerated Reliability and Durability Testing
	4.4 Basic Aspects of Methodology for Selecting Representative Input Regions for Accurate Simulation of Real-World Conditions
		4.4.1 The Problem
		4.4.2 Basic Steps of Methodology for Selecting a Representative Region
	4.5 The Role of Real-World Conditions’ Accurate Simulation in the Development of Accelerated Reliability and Durability Testing and Successful Efficiency Prediction
	4.6 Establishing the Concepts and Statistical Criteria for Providing Physical Simulation of Input Influences on a Product for Accelerated Reliability/Durability Testing
	4.7 Equipment for Advanced Accelerated Testing
		4.7.1 Introduction
		4.7.2 General Situation
		4.7.3 Environmental Combined Testing Equipment
		4.7.4 Combined Testing for Vehicle Components
		4.7.5 Equipment for Accelerated Reliability and Durability Testing
	References
Chapter 5: Negative Trends in the Development of Simulation, Testing, and Prediction in Engineering
	5.1 Introduction
	5.2 Some of the Basic Negative Trends in the Technology Development of Simulation and Accelerated Testing
	5.3 Trends in Using Virtual (Computer) Simulation and Testing as a Replacement for Real-World Conditions
	5.4 Consideration of the Newly Trends in the Development of Real-World Simulation, Accelerated Testing, and Efficiency Prediction
	References
Chapter 6: Implementation Successful Prediction of Product Efficiency, Accelerated: Reliability and Durability Testing, and Accurate Simulation
	6.1 Introduction
	6.2 Common Principles
	6.3 Direct Implementation: Economic Results
	6.4 Implementation Through Standardization
		6.4.1 Implementation of Reliability Testing and Successful Reliability Prediction Through the Application of Standard EP-456 “Test and Reliability Guidelines” for Farm Machinery
		6.4.2 How the Work in SAE G-11 Division Assisted to Implement Accelerated Reliability Testing as a Component of Successful Efficiency Prediction
		6.4.3 Implementation of Reliability Testing During the Work for the International Electrotechnical Commission (IEC), US Representative for International Organizations in Standardization (ISO), IEC/ISO Joint Study Group in Safety Aspects of Risk As
	6.5 Implementation Through Author’s and His Colleagues Seminars, Publications, Lectures, and Presentations over the World
	6.6 Implementation Through Published Citations
	6.7 Implementation Through Published Reviews
	References
Index