Prediction and Perception of Natural Hazards: Proceedings Symposium, 22–26 October 1990, Perugia, Italy

Front Matter....Pages i-xiv
Front Matter....Pages 1-1
A Non-Structural Policy for the Mitigation of Flood Effects: The Arno Project....Pages 3-12
The Impact of Structural Damage Due to Hurricanes and the Prospects for Disaster Reduction....Pages 13-21
The Social Dimensions of Warning and the Transition from Folk Wisdom to Laymanship....Pages 23-28
Natural Hazard Predictions and Responses in Very Large Cities....Pages 29-37
The Effect of the Uncertainties in Natural Hazard Prediction on the User Communities....Pages 39-47
Uncertainties in Natural Hazards Prediction and its Effect on User Communities Perception: Soviet Union Case Study....Pages 49-53
Front Matter....Pages 55-55
Uncertainties in the Development of Predictions of Large Scale Atmospheric Phenomena, Droughts, Tornadoes and Hurricanes....Pages 57-63
Empirical Studies of Public Response to Tornado and Hurricane Warnings in the United States....Pages 65-73
The Role of Technical Hazard and Forecast Information in Preparedness for and Response to the Hurricane Hazard in the United States....Pages 75-81
Front Matter....Pages 83-83
Some Remarks on Scientific Activity of Flood Prediction in Italy....Pages 85-92
Landslides as Polycausal Phenomena....Pages 93-99
Uncertainty in Evaluating Landslide Hazard and Risk....Pages 101-109
The River Danube Flood of 27 March 1988....Pages 111-118
A Summary of the State of the Art in Flash Flood Warning Systems in the United States....Pages 119-124
Spatial Prediction of Landslides....Pages 125-132
Front Matter....Pages 133-133
Earthquake Prediction from the Viewpoint of Earthquake Engineering....Pages 135-142
Communicating Public Earthquake Risk Information....Pages 143-152
Uncertainties in the Estimate of Strong Ground Motion in the Surroundings of a Large Earthquake....Pages 153-158
Risk Area Residents’ Changing Perceptions of Volcano Hazard AT MT. ST. Helens....Pages 159-166
Uncertainties in the Development of Predictions of Earthquakes....Pages 167-172
Front Matter....Pages 173-173
The Different Worlds of Science and Mass Communication: Implications for Information flow from the Former to the Latter....Pages 175-182
Effective Communication Between the Scientific Community and the Media....Pages 183-191
Ideas for a Global Model of Communication and IDNDR Potential....Pages 193-198
Quantity of Reporting About Hazards: The Case of Naturally Occurring Radon....Pages 199-202
Earthquake Prediction and Information to the Public — a Mexican Perspective....Pages 203-212
Back Matter....Pages 213-213