Mathematical and Statistical Approaches to AIDS Epidemiology

Front Matter....Pages I-IX
Front Matter....Pages 1-1
Statistical and Mathematical Approaches in HIV/AIDS Modeling: A Review....Pages 2-35
Front Matter....Pages 37-37
Epidemic Models, Empirical Studies, and Uncertainty....Pages 38-57
Predicting AIDS Incidence by Extrapolating from Recent Trends....Pages 58-88
Front Matter....Pages 89-89
Measuring HIV Infectivity....Pages 90-110
The Stages of HIV Infection: Waiting Times and Infection Transmission Probabilities....Pages 111-137
Modeling Heterogeneity in Susceptibility and Infectivity for HIV Infection....Pages 138-156
On the Role of Variable Infectivity in the Dynamics of the Human Immunodeficiency Virus Epidemic....Pages 157-176
Front Matter....Pages 177-177
Assessment of the Risk of HIV Spread Via Non-Steady Heterosexual Partners in the U.S. Population....Pages 178-199
On the Role of Long Incubation Periods in the Dynamics of Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome (AIDS). Part 2: Multiple Group Models....Pages 200-217
Nonrandom Mixing Models of HIV Transmission....Pages 218-239
Front Matter....Pages 241-241
The Structure and Context of Social Interactions and the Spread of HIV....Pages 242-259
Pair Formation in Sexually-Transmitted Diseases....Pages 260-274
Mixing Framework for Social/Sexual Behavior....Pages 275-288
Interaction, Pair Formation and Force of Infection Terms in Sexually Transmitted Diseases....Pages 289-300
Structured Mixing: Heterogeneous Mixing by the Definition of Activity Groups....Pages 301-315
Selective Contact within Structured Mixing with an Application to HIV Transmission Risk from Oral and Anal Sex....Pages 316-348
Front Matter....Pages 349-349
Modeling the Interaction of the Immune System with HIV....Pages 350-370
Modeling the Interaction of HIV with Cells of the Immune System....Pages 371-385
When HIV Meets the Immune System: Network Theory, Alloimmunity, Autoimmunity, and AIDS....Pages 386-405
Back Matter....Pages 409-412