Global Warming Gridlock: Creating More Effective Strategies for Protecting the Planet

Cover......Page 1
Half-title......Page 3
Title......Page 5
Copyright......Page 6
Contents......Page 7
Figures......Page 9
Tables......Page 10
Preface and acknowledgements: a journey studying international environmental regulation......Page 11
Hard truths about global warming: a roadmap to reading this book......Page 28
Part I: Setting the scene......Page 37
Step 1: why the science of global warming matters......Page 39
Step 2: myths about the policy process......Page 41
Step 3: regulating emissions......Page 44
Step 4: investing in innovation......Page 51
Step 5: bracing for change......Page 54
Step 6: a new international strategy......Page 58
The future......Page 61
2 Why global warming is such a hard problem to solve......Page 66
How scientists and society decided that climate change was dangerous......Page 68
Why global warming is such a hard problem to solve......Page 75
Myth 1: the scientist’s myth......Page 78
Myth 2: the environmentalist’s myth......Page 85
Myth 3: the engineer’s myth......Page 88
Conclusions......Page 93
Part II: The three dimensions of climate policy strategy......Page 95
3 Regulating emissions part 1: the enthusiastic countries......Page 97
A theory of regulation......Page 99
Implications for international coordination......Page 108
Implications for emission targets and timetables......Page 110
Implications for international emission trading......Page 111
4 Regulating emissions part 2: engaging reluctant developing countries......Page 119
Better sticks and carrots......Page 121
Beyond sticks and carrots......Page 135
Finding more leverage......Page 136
Box II in action: some examples......Page 140
China......Page 141
India......Page 144
Indonesia......Page 146
Gulf states......Page 148
Conclusions......Page 149
5 Promoting technological change......Page 152
The politics of technology and policy......Page 155
A logic for technology policy......Page 164
Energy technology strategy: the basics......Page 169
Appropriability and the innovation trap......Page 171
Solving the lock-out problem......Page 187
The need for international coordination......Page 190
Putting it all together......Page 198
6 Preparing for a changing climate: adaptation, geoengineering, and triage......Page 201
A framework for analysis......Page 203
Box 1: getting serious about adaptation......Page 210
Box 4: masking the horrors with geoengineering......Page 221
Learning more......Page 224
Governing the geoengineers......Page 228
Some more inconvenient problems......Page 233
Mankind and nature......Page 234
Part III: Putting it all together......Page 237
7 Explaining diplomatic gridlock: what went wrong?......Page 239
How did we get here?......Page 240
Wrong tools for the job......Page 244
Geometry: who sits at the table?......Page 246
Instruments: targets and timetables......Page 251
Form: legally binding commitments......Page 260
Incentives: rotten carrots and wimpy sticks......Page 265
Toward a new approach......Page 274
Conclusions......Page 275
8 A new strategy......Page 277
Clubs, commitments, and incentives......Page 278
The system in action......Page 281
International institutions and convergence......Page 290
Convergence......Page 295
Conclusions......Page 297
9 Climate change and world order: implications for the UN, industry, diplomacy, and the great powers......Page 299
Some broader implications......Page 304
Hard truths about global warming: a roadmap to reading this book......Page 315
1 Introduction and overview......Page 316
2 Why global warming is such a hard problem to solve......Page 317
3 Regulating emissions part 1: the enthusiastic countries......Page 321
4 Regulating emissions part 2: engaging reluctant developing countries......Page 322
5 Promoting technological change......Page 327
6 Preparing for a changing climate: adaptation, geoengineering, and triage......Page 337
7 Explaining diplomatic gridlock: what went wrong?......Page 346
8 A new strategy......Page 353
9 Climate change and world order: implications for the UN, industry, diplomacy, and the great powers......Page 356
References......Page 357
Index......Page 387