Dynamic Models of International Conflict

Contents
Preface
1 Perspectives on Modeling International Conflict
Part 1 Game Theoretic and Utility Approaches
2 The Path to Stable Deterrence
3 Anticipation and Stability in Two-Person Non-Cooperative Games
4 The Pathologies of Unilateral Deterrence
5. Decision-Theoretic and Game-Theoretic Models of International Conflict
6 Moving Forward in Time: Paths Toward a Dynamic Utility Theory of Crisis Decisions
Part 2 Escalation Processes
7 Heuristic Decision Rules, the Dynamics of the Arms Race, and War Initiation
8 Arms Races as Good Things?
9 Transform Methods and Dynamic Models
10. The Dollar Auction as a Model of International Escalation
Part 3 Simulation Approaches
11 Toward a Dynamic Theory of Conflict and Coalition Formation
12 Modeling External and Internal Conflict in Small Countries
13 Simulation of Reliability Kinematics in Political Systems
Part 4 Models of War Fighting
14 Lanchester Models of Battlefield Attrition and the Organization of Combat Forces
15 Dynamic Models of Guerrilla Warfare
Part 5 Artificial Intelligence Approaches
16 Adaptive Precedent-Based Logic and Rational Choice: A Comparison of Two Approaches to the Modeling of International Behavior
17 Changes in Foreign Policy Across Time: The Logical Analysis of a Succession of Decision Problems Using Logic Programming
Part 6 Empirical and Theoretical Frontiers
18 A Visual Approach to International Conflict and Cooperation
19 Cycles of General, Hegemonic, and Global War
20. Forecasting East-West Diplomatic Climate: A Politometric Approach
Part 7 Commentary
21 Connecting Domestic and International Conflicts, Past and Present
References
About the Editors and Contributors