Decision Making Under Uncertainty: Cognitive Decision Research Social Interaction Development and Epistemology

Content: 
Editors
Page ii

Edited by
Page iii

Copyright page
Page iv

Preface
Pages v-vi
Roland W. Scholz

Introduction to Decision Making Under Uncertainty: Biases, Fallacies, and the Development of Decision Making Original Research Article
Pages 3-18
Roland W. Scholz

The Theoretical Status of Judgmental Heuristics Original Research Article
Pages 21-37
Thomas S. Wallsten

The Base Rate Fallacy Controversy Original Research Article
Pages 39-61
Maya Bar-Hillel

The Two Camps on Rationality Original Research Article
Pages 63-86
Helmut Jungermann

The Role of Heuristics in Models of Decision Original Research Article
Pages 87-108
Rudolf Groner, Marina Groner, Walter F. Bischof

On the Testability of the Availability Heuristic Original Research Article
Pages 109-119
Klaus Fiedler

Problem Structuring Calculi and Levels of Knowledge Representation in Decision Making Original Research Article
Pages 121-157
Patrick Humphreys, Dina Berkeley

Verbal Vs. Numerical Processing of Subjective Probabilities Original Research Article
Pages 159-182
Alf C. Zimmer

Subjective Expected Utility: A Model of Decision-Making Original Research Article
Pages 183-207
Baruch Fischhoff, Bernard Goitein, Zur Shapira

Conditions of Violating Individual Rationality Original Research Article
Pages 211-227
Werner H. Tack

Biases in Group Decision Making Original Research Article
Pages 229-252
Helmut W. Crott, Johannes A. Zuber

The Dependence of Cognition and Behavior in 2X2 Matrice Games Original Research Article
Pages 253-270
Ulrich Schulz, Theo May

On the Prominence Structure of the Decimal System Original Research Article
Pages 271-287
Wulf Albers, Glsela Albers

Conceptual and Theoretical Issues in Developmental Research on the Acquisition of the Probability Concept Original Research Article
Pages 291-311
Roland W. Scholz, Manfred Waller

The Perception of Probability Situations in Pupils Aged 12 to 14 Original Research Article
Pages 313-323
Georges Glaeser

The Psychology of Inference and the Teaching of Probability and Statistics: Two Sides of The Same Coin? Original Research Article
Pages 325-350
J. Michael Shaughnessy

(Mis-) Interpretation of Stochastic Models Original Research Article
Pages 351-361
Georg Schrage

- Randomness and Stochastic Independence - on the Relationship Between Intuitive Motion Mathematical Definition Original Research Article
Pages 363-373
Gerd V. Marten, Heinz Steinbring

Decision-Theoretic Paradoxes Original Research Article
Pages 375-383
Georg Pflug

The Possible and the Profitable Some Remarks on the Symposium'S Impact on Decision Research Original Research Article
Pages 387-389
Baruch Fischhoff

The Importance of the Fictional for Theories of Knowledge Some Remarks on the Symposium'S Impact on Cognitive Psychology Original Research Article
Pages 391-395
Alf C. Zimmer

Why are Developmental Psychologists Biased with Regard to the Biasedness of the Human Subject?: Some Remarks on the Symposium'S Impact on Developmental Psychology Original Research Article
Pages 397-401
Manfred Waller

Individual Decision Making and Social Psychology: Some Remarks on the Symposium'S Impact on Social Psychology Original Research Article
Pages 403-408
Katrin Borcherding

Towards A Theory of Limited Rationality: Some Remarks on the Symposium'S Impact on Economic Theory Original Research Article
Pages 409-412
Reinhard Selten

Towards an Education for Decision Behavior: Some Remarks on the Symposium'S Impact on Mathematical Education Original Research Article
Pages 413-419
Hans-Georgsteiner Steiner

Addresses
Pages 421,423-424

Abstracts
Pages 427-435

Author Index
Pages 439-445