Crisis on the Korean Peninsula : How to Deal With a Nuclear North Korea

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Copyright......Page 5
CONTENTS......Page 7
FOREWORD......Page 9
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS......Page 11
DEFUSING THE CRISIS......Page 13
MILITARY ISSUES AND OPTIONS......Page 20
THE CLINTON LEGACY......Page 23
THE BUSH POLICY TOWARD NORTH KOREA......Page 26
A NEW POLICY......Page 28
CONCLUSION......Page 33
CHAPTER 1 THE HERMIT KINGDOM......Page 35
IS NORTH KOREA TRYING TO MEND ITS WAYS?......Page 40
THE RECENT NUCLEAR CRISIS......Page 43
“THE MOST SERIOUS CHALLENGE TO U.S. REGIONAL INTERESTS IN A GENERATION”......Page 52
TOWARD A GRAND BARGAIN WITH NORTH KOREA......Page 54
CHAPTER 2 THE CRUXOFTHE CONFRONTATION......Page 69
A KOREAN CONFLICT AND THE U.S. TWO-WAR SCENARIO......Page 70
A U.S. PREEMPTIVE OPTION?......Page 72
MILITARY FORCES AND MILITARY GEOGRAPHY ON THE PENINSULA......Page 75
NORTH KOREAN MILITARY CAPABILITIES......Page 77
SOUTH KOREAN MILITARY CAPABILITIES......Page 80
THE UNITED STATES’ FORCES......Page 82
MILITARY ANALYSIS OF AN ATTEMPTED NORTH KOREAN INVASION......Page 85
CONCLUSION......Page 92
CHAPTER 3 THE GRAND BARGAIN......Page 95
ADDRESSING THE NUCLEAR ISSUE......Page 104
NORTH KOREA’S MISSILES......Page 112
CONVENTIONAL FORCE REDUCTIONS......Page 116
ECONOMIC REFORM AND ECONOMIC AID FOR NORTH KOREA......Page 121
UNITING THE GREAT POWERS BEHIND THE GRAND BARGAIN......Page 123
CHAPTER 4 TURNING SWORDS INTO PLOWS......Page 125
IMPLICATIONS OF 50-PERCENT CUTS......Page 129
CONCLUSION......Page 136
CHAPTER 5 FIXING A FAILED ECONOMY......Page 139
THE RISE AND FALL OF THE NORTH KOREAN ECONOMY......Page 141
ATTEMPTS AT REFORM......Page 143
PROSPECTS FOR RECOVERY AND REFORM TODAY......Page 147
THE ROLE OF EXTERNAL AID IN REFORM......Page 150
CONCLUSION......Page 154
CHAPTER 6 ANEW ALLIANCE......Page 157
PURPOSES OF U.S. FORCES IN KOREA AFTER REUNIFICATION......Page 162
OPTIONS FOR U.S. FORCES IN A REUNIFIED KOREA......Page 169
Option I: Focus on the Territorial Defense of Korea......Page 170
Option II: Focus on Maritime Interests......Page 172
Option III: Focus on Maritime Interests As Well As Collective Security......Page 174
CONCLUSION......Page 175
APPENDIX 1 MODELING AN ATTEMPTED NORTH KOREAN BREAKTHROUGH......Page 179
CHEMICAL WEAPONS......Page 185
Geneva, October 21, 1994......Page 189
Preface by the President......Page 195
I. Overview of America’s International Strategy......Page 199
III. Strengthen Alliances to Defeat Global Terrorism and Work to Prevent Attacks Against Us and Our Friends......Page 201
REFERENCES......Page 207
INDEX......Page 233