China's Reforms At 30: Challenges and Prospects (Series on Contemporary China)

Contents......Page 6
Introduction Dali Yang and Litao Zhao......Page 8
1. How to Sustain China’s Growth Miracle? Eswar S. Prasad......Page 16
INVESTMENT-LED GROWTH......Page 18
MACROECONOMIC POLICIES......Page 21
PATH TO REFORMS......Page 26
AN ALTERNATIVE MONETARY POLICY FRAMEWORK......Page 30
CONCLUSIONS......Page 32
CHINA’S RECENT SURGE IN WORLD TRADE......Page 34
CHANGING COMPOSITION OF CHINA’S TRADE......Page 37
DECOMPOSING CHINA’S SURGING TRADE IMBALANCES......Page 40
SPECIALIZATION AND PRODUCTION SHARING IN ASIA......Page 46
PROSPECTS FOR CHINA’S FOREIGN TRADE......Page 52
TROUBLE ON THE HORIZON?......Page 56
POLITICAL IMPLICATIONS OF PROTEST: FURTHER QUESTIONS......Page 59
POPULAR PROTEST AND POLITICAL INSTABILITY......Page 61
SOURCES OF REGIME SUPPORT......Page 62
POLITICALLY STRATEGIC POPULATIONS......Page 63
THE REAL RISKS AHEAD......Page 64
THE ROLE OF PROTEST IN CHINA’S POLITICAL EVOLUTION......Page 68
4. The 17th Party Congress and the CCP’s Changing Elite Politics You Ji......Page 70
THE 17TH CONGRESS AND NEW FEATURES OF CCP ELITE POLITICS......Page 71
Relationship between Informal Politics and Institutionalization......Page 72
The Consensus on Supporting the Successor......Page 74
Impact of Institutionalization on Elite Politics......Page 77
Addressing Uneven Factional Presentation of the 16th Congress......Page 79
Hu’s Own Test in Fair Representation......Page 83
CRITERIA FOR PERSONNEL SELECTION......Page 85
The Hu Revisionism: Unifying Ideological and Organizational Lines......Page 86
Affinity......Page 91
KEY PERSONNEL ISSUES OF THE 17TH DA IN THE CONTEXT OF THE 18TH DA......Page 93
The Strategic Issue for Hu: Two Terms or Three Terms?......Page 94
The Perils of the Two-Line Leadership......Page 95
A Major Political Reform......Page 96
Constraints for the Two-Term Option......Page 97
Tackling the Bottleneck Problems......Page 98
Progress in Institutionalization......Page 99
IN SEARCH OF AN HEIR APPARENT......Page 100
The Hu Connection, the Criteria and the Anointment Process......Page 101
The Xi–Li Race......Page 102
CONCLUDING REMARKS......Page 105
5. Diminishing Demographic Dividends: Implications for China’s Growth Sustainability Ding Lu......Page 108
A FAST DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION......Page 109
THE GRIM PROSPECT OF DEMOGRAPHIC TRENDS......Page 116
COMPETING PROPOSALS FOR POLICY OPTIONS......Page 124
CONCLUDING REMARKS......Page 129
6. Towards Universal Coverage: China’s New Healthcare Insurance Reforms Edward Gu......Page 132
A CHINESE DISEASE: UNAFFORDABILITY OF HEALTHCARE......Page 134
SUPPLY-SIDE SOLUTION: HEALTHCARE PROVIDERS GO BACK TO THE PLANNED SYSTEM......Page 137
DEMAND-SIDE SOLUTION: UNIVERSAL COVERAGE OF HEALTHCARE INSURANCE MATTERS......Page 141
TOWARDS UNIVERSAL COVERAGE: GRADUAL REFORMS OF EXISTING PUBLIC HEALTHCARE INSURANCE SCHEMES......Page 146
7. A New Perspective in Guiding Ethnic Relations in the 21st Century —“De-politicization” of Ethnicity in China Rong Ma......Page 152
The Concept of These Two Terms in General......Page 154
The Terms Used in Contemporary China Regarding “Nation” and “Ethnicity”......Page 156
TWO TYPES OF POLICIES FOR DIRECTING ETHNIC RELATIONS: POLITICIZATION AND CULTURALIZATION......Page 157
The Traditional Culture-Centered View of Ethnic Relations in Chinese History......Page 158
The European Nationalism Movement: “Politicizing” Ethnicity......Page 162
Continuation of the European Tradition of “Politicizing” Ethnicity by the Former USSR......Page 164
“Politicizing” Ethnic Groups in the Process of Globalization......Page 166
The Policy of “Acculturation” in the United States of America......Page 167
“An Ethnic Group” Might Become a “Nation” and Rewrite Its History......Page 170
Practical Measures of “Politicizing” Ethnicity: Institutionalization of Ethnic Status and Ethnic Relations......Page 171
“Culturalism” and “Nationalism” in Modern China......Page 173
The Policies of the Chinese Government Since 1949......Page 175
Political Unity and Equality among Ethnic Groups......Page 177
“Ethnic Cultural Pluralism” and “National Cultural Identity”......Page 178
DISCUSSION......Page 180
8. Is There an Asian Value? Popular Understanding of Democracy in Asia Tianjian Shi......Page 182
DEMOCRATIC DEMANDS AMONG PEOPLE IN ASIA......Page 184
DEMOCRATIC SUPPLIES......Page 189
TESTING THE MEANING OF DEMOCRACY AMONG ASIAN PEOPLE......Page 196
THE MEANING OF DEMOCRACY IN MAINLAND CHINA AND TAIWAN......Page 200
CONCLUSION......Page 207
About the Authors......Page 210
Index......Page 214